NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	5.3 [739]		MVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): +6.2%
Phoenix Suns	85		Comeback	1.0 [445]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -32.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	73%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	19	49%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.12	0.05	-0.04	14	47%	0.04	4	-0.07	12	75%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	7	38%	-0.04	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	18	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	16	57%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul McPherson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	8	64%	-0.01	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	11	29%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.08	0.03	15	55%	-0.07	4	-0.12	12	50%	-0.06
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.26	-0.07	-0.00	12	58%	0.01	14	-0.33	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.6	25.5	15.3	28.4	1.7	41.4	139.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +5.6%

NYK +10.4%

PHX -8.8%

NYK +40.8%

NYK +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHX	NBA	NYK	PHX	NBA
this game	15.8	13.2	15.5	90.0	85.9	100.9
season	16.4	14.9		99.2	97.7
opponent	15.4	16.1		96.2	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.2	15.4	15.6	14.4	15.8
PHX	16.1	14.6	11.5	11.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	56	54	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-7	19	14.2	17.7	-3.43	13.2	13.2	0.03
Allan Houston	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-5	15	15.9	15.2	0.78	13.4	12.5	0.85
Chris Childs	47	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-7	19	14.4	17.0	-2.64	13.8	12.6	1.25
Marcus Camby	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-8	21	16.9	14.1	2.83	15.0	10.6	4.46
Glen Rice	50	48	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	3	-1	15.5	16.1	-0.60	13.9	12.5	1.37
Latrell Sprewell	77	76	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.39	-7	12	-19	16.1	14.5	1.61	12.4	15.8	-3.46
Larry Johnson	76	77	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.46	-11	16	-27	16.1	14.6	1.55	12.4	15.8	-3.40
Charlie Ward	57	56	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.34	-9	14	-23	16.0	15.4	0.64	12.0	14.7	-2.74
Travis Knight	3	3	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	2	1	19.0	15.7	3.34	12.7	13.2	-0.52

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	27	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-4	3	14.2	12.8	1.39	17.6	15.1	2.52
Corie Blount	25	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	0	-5	14.3	12.8	1.48	18.6	14.8	3.73
Paul McPherson	7	6	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.13	-10	5	-15	12.1	13.2	-1.11	11.3	16.0	-4.71
Clifford Robinson	89	89	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.50	10	-15	25	12.7	17.8	-5.15	16.1	13.4	2.69
Daniel Santiago	20	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	3	-11	16.6	12.3	4.36	14.4	16.1	-1.70
Shawn Marion	89	89	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.45	6	-11	17	13.0	14.4	-1.37	16.4	10.8	5.55
Tony Delk	78	80	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.43	3	-8	11	12.6	15.1	-2.50	15.2	17.8	-2.61
Jason Kidd	94	94	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	13.1	15.0	-1.93	15.8	15.0	0.81
Rodney Rogers	60	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	3	-11	12.4	14.3	-1.92	14.5	17.9	-3.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, IND 72	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.7%
GSW 115, POR 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.4%
DAL 105, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%