inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 97 Excitement9.7 [68] MVPVoshon Lenard (DEN): +20.1%
Denver Nuggets 101 Comeback2.9 [580] LVPMookie Blaylock (GSW): -36.5%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vonteego Cummings0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.120.03-0.001075%0.1500.00475%0.00
Vinny Del Negro0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Mills-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.021440%-0.0400.002100%0.02
Marc Jackson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.00333%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Chris Porter-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Danny Fortson-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.03-0.080.02873%0.062-0.13667%-0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00150%0.002-0.0720%-0.03
Antawn Jamison-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.06-0.011343%0.003-0.132100%0.01
Larry Hughes-0.170,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17-0.07-0.080.021946%-0.072-0.10875%-0.04
Erick Dampier-0.360,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.36-0.10-0.26-0.01733%-0.272-0.0940%-0.27
Mookie Blaylock-0.360,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.36-0.20-0.18-0.021718%-0.262-0.1000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.080.12-0.001166%0.2000.007100%0.05
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,0.060.060.030.02-0.001356%0.0600.008100%0.07
James Posey0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.01769%0.071-0.03250%-0.01
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.0230%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.05-0.02960%0.003-0.07771%-0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,0.01,-0.1,-0.08-0.080.03-0.11-0.011855%-0.051-0.03683%0.04
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.00520%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Terry Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.040.0010%-0.071-0.0320%-0.05
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.140.00-0.01950%0.036-0.16667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.62.330.515.729.22.433.3139.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +14.2%
DEN +33.0%
GSW -33.3%
DEN +31.2%
DEN +4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDENNBAGSWDENNBA
this game14.714.215.598.0101.0100.9
season15.015.295.3101.4
opponent15.214.9104.1104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.215.914.013.814.7
DEN12.514.813.116.914.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antawn Jamison65670.22-0.720.93-0.1111-152614.315.5-1.2215.112.42.77
Vonteego Cummings36370.00-0.500.50-0.124-81215.314.40.8713.614.6-0.91
Adonal Foyle4443-0.04-0.460.42-0.102-6815.414.21.1913.015.2-2.22
Marc Jackson1314-0.06-0.440.370.05-40-416.214.51.6413.814.3-0.50
Vinny Del Negro89-0.17-0.330.170.07-84-1219.214.34.9211.814.5-2.68
Mookie Blaylock7474-0.23-0.280.05-0.282-6814.814.60.1214.513.51.02
Chris Porter77-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.04-84-1214.714.7-0.0112.314.4-2.08
Larry Hughes6767-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.350-4413.716.8-3.1314.413.90.51
Erick Dampier5355-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.24-62-814.515.0-0.5515.712.53.19
Danny Fortson6968-0.510.01-0.51-0.42-3-1-214.515.2-0.6313.815.1-1.33
Chris Mills5959-0.680.18-0.86-0.39-106-1615.014.30.6813.814.8-1.03

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tariq Abdul-Wahad61600.64-0.140.780.3211-71813.415.5-2.0414.614.9-0.24
Nick Van Exel69690.62-0.120.730.388-41214.014.8-0.8514.914.30.57
George McCloud64620.50-0.000.510.365-1614.314.10.2114.714.8-0.05
Raef LaFrentz42430.400.100.300.3713-215.313.41.8813.515.7-2.19
Terry Davis41390.340.160.180.37-15-613.015.1-2.0313.215.7-2.55
Keon Clark83810.130.37-0.240.1013-214.413.11.3315.411.83.60
Antonio McDyess34350.130.37-0.24-0.087-31013.814.5-0.6916.513.82.68
James Posey3637-0.000.50-0.510.03-15-614.114.3-0.2114.814.70.05
Robert Pack3130-0.120.62-0.730.00-48-1214.814.00.8514.314.9-0.57
Voshon Lenard3939-0.140.64-0.780.07-711-1815.513.42.0414.914.60.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.49,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 117, MIL 1200.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.45,0.74,190.3%
DET 105, CHI 1070.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.58,190.0%
ORL 96, NYK 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.82,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.21,0.33,0.27,189.5%