inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 105 Excitement9.7 [92] MVPKris Dunn (CHI): +20.7%
Chicago Bulls 107 Comeback2.1 [511] LVPTobias Harris (DET): -22.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.090.09-0.00583%0.1800.00250%-0.02
Andre Drummond0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.040.10-0.050.011366%0.071-0.03683%0.03
Luke Kennard0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.00-0.00856%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Ish Smith0.010,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.020.011055%0.0100.002100%0.01
Dwight Buycks-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.001240%-0.0200.001100%0.01
Eric Moreland-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00260%0.022-0.071100%0.00
Reggie Bullock-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1-0.06-0.05-0.01939%-0.042-0.0600%0.00
Avery Bradley-0.140,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,-0.140.09-0.190.041968%-0.054-0.0900%0.00
Tobias Harris-0.230,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23-0.16-0.07-0.001423%-0.182-0.04250%-0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kris Dunn0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.210.210.040.170.001360%0.272-0.06475%-0.04
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.060.001068%0.222-0.11250%-0.01
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.03-0.011362%0.162-0.0700%0.00
Zach LaVine0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.02970%0.101-0.03250%-0.02
Lauri Markkanen0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.020.020.09-0.060.021561%0.041-0.031100%0.01
Jerian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Denzel Valentine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.040.00333%-0.0500.0000%0.00
David Nwaba0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.070.001060%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.06-0.01764%0.024-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.52.427.48.522.62.527.9111.9
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +69.4%
DET -10.0%
CHI +4.7%
DET -13.4%
DET -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHINBADETCHINBA
this game16.812.914.7109.4109.2107.5
season14.914.2106.4103.2
opponent15.014.7110.2106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.215.917.218.016.8
CHI13.112.012.314.712.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Buycks41420.19-0.690.880.016-81417.516.31.2313.712.41.30
Eric Moreland27290.12-0.620.740.062-4618.116.31.8013.412.80.61
Luke Kennard44460.08-0.580.670.061-3417.616.11.5813.412.60.83
Anthony Tolliver3437-0.03-0.470.44-0.123-5817.816.21.6113.812.51.30
Tobias Harris6363-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.34-31-416.018.2-2.1312.413.9-1.50
Reggie Bullock7173-0.540.04-0.58-0.51-1-1016.716.9-0.1312.614.0-1.41
Avery Bradley7777-0.550.05-0.59-0.43-42-616.318.6-2.3113.012.70.36
Andre Drummond6867-0.660.16-0.83-0.49-64-1016.417.6-1.2212.813.2-0.40
Ish Smith5556-0.690.19-0.88-0.45-86-1416.317.5-1.2312.413.7-1.30

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robin Lopez58600.90-0.401.310.4316-143012.613.4-0.7616.916.60.23
Lauri Markkanen56550.69-0.190.880.458-61412.413.7-1.3016.317.5-1.23
Kris Dunn65650.450.050.410.315-3812.513.8-1.2616.317.8-1.56
Justin Holiday66650.410.090.310.3520212.613.7-1.1416.018.4-2.37
Jerian Grant28270.130.37-0.240.16-13-413.912.61.3718.016.31.70
David Nwaba31270.050.45-0.390.0502-211.913.4-1.5317.916.31.54
Zach LaVine39380.040.46-0.41-0.043-1412.813.0-0.2118.415.72.67
Denzel Valentine43440.030.47-0.430.09-24-613.512.50.9615.218.1-2.87
Nikola Mirotic4442-0.230.73-0.970.00-810-1813.612.41.1217.216.40.77
Bobby Portis3835-0.360.86-1.22-0.01-1214-2613.512.60.9416.916.70.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 80, TOR 810.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,190.8%
PHI 91, MEM 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,190.6%
DAL 97, SAS 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.75,0.55,0.43,0.73,190.3%