inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 100 Excitement12.6 [10] MVPWesley Person (CLE): +40.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers 102 Comeback130.6 [8] LVPDoug Christie (SAC): -49.0%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scot Pollard0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26-0.020.280.00657%0.281-0.02967%0.02
Nick Anderson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Darrick Martin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.010.001150%0.082-0.0700%0.00
Lawrence Funderburke0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00753%0.0100.003100%0.01
Peja Stojakovic-0.000,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.02-0.011274%0.256-0.25786%0.02
Vlade Divac-0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jon Barry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0230%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Bobby Jackson-0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.12-0.15-0.01750%-0.095-0.178100%0.14
Chris Webber-0.470,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.47,-0.47-0.13-0.35-0.012644%-0.334-0.15978%-0.01
Doug Christie-0.490,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.49-0.21-0.29-0.011320%-0.333-0.164100%0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.40.40-0.020.43-0.00743%0.441-0.0400%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.03-0.021056%0.0600.00580%0.00
Bimbo Coles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.01650%0.071-0.0400%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.080.09-0.01961%0.215-0.191090%0.13
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0-0.000.010.000.011553%0.021-0.02450%-0.07
Chris Mihm0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.02-0.01650%0.002-0.024100%0.02
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.01-0.00542%-0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.06-0.15-0.01955%0.004-0.21250%-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.04-0.24-0.011050%0.013-0.2800%0.00
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32-0.32-0.09-0.24-0.00935%-0.162-0.16250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game28.21.727.015.724.31.834.41.814.01.815.7166.4
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.21.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +98.8%
SAC -30.5%
SAC -0.2%
SAC -30.2%
CLE +12.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACCLENBASACCLENBA
this game16.716.315.594.397.1100.9
season14.415.3103.198.4
opponent15.615.5102.697.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAC14.820.614.816.017.416.5
CLE16.518.315.816.715.916.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Scot Pollard66660.11-0.610.72-0.076-81417.115.91.2116.615.90.65
Nick Anderson11100.09-0.590.67-0.003-5818.016.51.5118.216.12.06
Lawrence Funderburke14130.03-0.530.57-0.053-5818.416.42.0518.916.02.96
Darrick Martin88-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-2223.416.17.2718.116.21.94
Hedo Turkoglu1010-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-42-617.616.61.0514.716.5-1.81
Vlade Divac3939-0.20-0.300.10-0.03-64-1016.316.9-0.5415.916.6-0.65
Doug Christie8988-0.24-0.260.01-0.333-5816.418.0-1.6116.415.80.68
Bobby Jackson8080-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.34-1-1016.317.8-1.4816.117.1-0.98
Peja Stojakovic8585-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.40-1-1016.417.8-1.4416.316.4-0.14
Chris Webber9292-0.530.03-0.57-0.39-53-816.418.4-2.0516.018.9-2.96
Jon Barry3634-0.760.26-1.02-0.53-86-1416.116.9-0.7816.216.4-0.23

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wesley Person44450.86-0.361.210.657-51215.916.7-0.7715.617.5-1.90
Bimbo Coles43430.67-0.170.850.6411016.716.00.7016.716.60.16
Matt Harpring87880.390.110.280.3902-216.515.51.0117.413.24.13
Robert Traylor35350.310.190.120.223-1415.616.7-1.0616.316.8-0.55
Lamond Murray80810.280.220.050.31-13-416.216.8-0.6116.118.4-2.29
Chris Gatling26270.230.27-0.040.2302-216.116.4-0.3417.516.41.16
Chris Mihm30300.160.34-0.180.1020216.816.20.6114.617.5-2.86
Zydrunas Ilgauskas4848-0.010.51-0.52-0.0102-216.516.20.3817.715.72.01
Andre Miller6263-0.170.67-0.85-0.2011016.016.7-0.7016.616.7-0.16
Clar. Weatherspoon7070-0.220.72-0.93-0.13-35-816.715.61.0617.115.81.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.16,0.27,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.43,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 116, LAC 1210.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.86,0.42,0.5,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.58,187.8%
POR 101, MIL 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.63,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.12,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.78,0.92,187.6%
MIA 111, ATL 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.58,187.0%