NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	10.1 [47]		MVP	Chris Mills (GSW): +54.6%
Golden State Warriors	96		Comeback	3.9 [178]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (GSW): -40.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.05,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.08,0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	17	57%	0.25	5	-0.23	8	87%	0.12
Rodney Rogers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0	-0.03	0.03	0.00	8	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul McPherson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Garces	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	14	43%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14	-0.03	-0.12	-0.02	25	46%	-0.11	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	16	47%	-0.05	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.55	0.55	0.05	0.50	0.01	14	63%	0.60	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.09	-0.00	9	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.10
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	57%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	56%	-0.01	3	-0.07	10	60%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.10	-0.19	-0.01	9	50%	-0.06	4	-0.22	8	62%	-0.05
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.33,-0.42,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.21	-0.15	-0.01	20	39%	0.01	7	-0.36	4	75%	-0.03
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.4,-0.4	-0.40	-0.14	-0.26	-0.00	12	25%	-0.20	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.5	28.2	18.7	27.4	2.7	34.1	142.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +62.9%

GSW +3.1%

GSW +24.2%

PHX -37.8%

PHX -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	13.4	15.5	90.4	90.6	100.9
season	14.9	15.0		97.7	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.4		104.8	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.7	14.5	13.6	15.4	14.0
GSW	12.1	13.7	15.2	12.9	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul McPherson	20	19	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.08	10	-12	22	14.3	13.9	0.36	14.0	13.3	0.70
Chris Dudley	29	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-5	8	14.8	13.7	1.09	15.4	12.6	2.76
Corie Blount	54	55	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-2	2	13.7	14.4	-0.71	13.3	13.6	-0.32
Daniel Santiago	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	0	-2	14.0	14.0	-0.01	12.1	13.6	-1.46
Ruben Garces	6	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	2	-6	17.0	13.8	3.17	9.8	13.6	-3.81
Tony Delk	82	83	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.48	11	-13	24	13.7	15.0	-1.31	13.5	13.3	0.15
Rodney Rogers	48	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-1	0	13.5	14.4	-0.91	13.0	13.8	-0.88
Mario Elie	22	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	11	-24	15.0	13.7	1.31	13.3	13.5	-0.15
Jason Kidd	97	100	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.49	1	-3	4	13.6	20.1	-6.58	13.6	10.5	3.10
Clifford Robinson	92	93	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.47	-3	1	-4	13.8	15.9	-2.16	13.5	13.0	0.48
Shawn Marion	60	61	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.51	-12	10	-22	15.0	12.6	2.42	13.0	14.0	-1.04

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	59	58	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.38	13	-11	24	14.5	12.0	2.48	14.5	13.3	1.19
Mookie Blaylock	78	76	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.49	2	0	2	12.9	14.7	-1.80	14.2	13.4	0.80
Vinny Del Negro	21	20	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-3	8	16.7	12.6	4.10	14.6	13.9	0.73
Adonal Foyle	35	33	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-11	24	12.2	14.0	-1.83	13.2	14.4	-1.12
Chris Mills	77	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.55	-6	8	-14	12.8	15.1	-2.31	13.5	15.4	-1.84
Danny Fortson	67	67	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.37	-7	9	-16	13.7	12.9	0.79	14.2	13.6	0.56
Adam Keefe	10	10	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	-2	6	10.7	13.7	-3.01	9.3	14.5	-5.21
Vonteego Cummings	29	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	2	-2	14.2	13.1	1.12	13.4	14.2	-0.80
Larry Hughes	88	88	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	4	-6	12.7	16.8	-4.04	14.2	12.7	1.56
Erick Dampier	66	64	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.02	-12	14	-26	14.0	12.4	1.57	14.5	13.2	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.59,0.39,0.45,0.78,0.78,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 84, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.58,1	90.4%
BOS 91, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.66,0.43,0.28,1	90.0%
MIL 105, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.67,0.58,1	88.6%