NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	126		Excitement	6.2 [564]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): +27.3%
Toronto Raptors	119		Comeback	15.6 [46]		LVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): -7.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.27	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27	0.18	0.11	0.02	21	68%	0.28	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.03	0.04	22	62%	0.17	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Ochai Agbaji	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	5	75%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Walker Kessler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	6	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.05	-0.04	11	36%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	3	100%	0.20	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.02	0.02	13	70%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	23	64%	0.13	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.03	-0.01	12	67%	0.14	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	9	52%	-0.00	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	20	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.0	27.2	14.7	26.2	2.5	31.3	126.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +45.1%

UTA +0.6%

UTA +0.9%

UTA +4.2%

TOR -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	14.0	14.5	122.3	121.4	113.9
season	14.7	14.0		113.7	111.3
opponent	14.7	13.9		117.6	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.6	15.5	12.8	14.8	14.6
TOR	14.4	12.1	14.4	15.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walker Kessler	53	51	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.34	17	-10	27	15.0	14.2	0.82	14.2	13.8	0.41
Jordan Clarkson	63	62	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.24	19	-12	31	14.9	14.2	0.68	14.3	13.4	0.88
Kris Dunn	72	70	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.39	10	-3	13	14.3	15.3	-0.98	14.3	13.3	1.00
Lauri Markkanen	81	78	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-2	11	14.8	14.0	0.76	14.3	12.9	1.38
Ochai Agbaji	50	48	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-1	9	15.3	14.1	1.20	13.7	14.3	-0.57
Simone Fontecchio	44	41	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.18	0	7	-7	14.6	14.7	-0.05	13.4	14.5	-1.09
Kelly Olynyk	37	33	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	16	-25	14.1	14.9	-0.83	14.1	14.0	0.14
Collin Sexton	57	52	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.02	-11	18	-29	14.1	15.3	-1.12	13.4	14.7	-1.27
John Collins	58	55	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.10	-8	15	-23	14.4	14.9	-0.44	13.9	14.1	-0.17

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	43	47	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-10	13	13.9	14.1	-0.21	14.1	15.1	-1.06
Malachi Flynn	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-4	1	14.3	13.9	0.45	15.0	14.5	0.49
Precious Achiuwa	44	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	14.1	13.9	0.25	14.9	14.5	0.40
Pascal Siakam	72	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-7	7	14.1	13.6	0.52	14.6	14.6	0.02
Dennis Schroder	67	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-6	5	13.9	14.3	-0.42	14.5	14.9	-0.41
Scottie Barnes	78	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	13.8	14.7	-0.88	14.7	14.4	0.35
Chris Boucher	27	26	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	4	-15	15.4	13.5	1.94	15.4	14.4	1.05
OG Anunoby	74	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	13.7	15.0	-1.27	14.5	15.2	-0.74
Gary Trent Jr.	57	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	3	-13	13.8	14.3	-0.50	14.7	14.6	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.41,0.28,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 96, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.65,0.64,0.45,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	94.6%
CHA 92, BOS 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.71,0.47,0.34,0.15,0.07,0.06,0,0	93.7%
CHA 107, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.47,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	93.3%