NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	107		Excitement	7.4 [343]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (CHA): +66.1%
Orlando Magic	104		Comeback	16.8 [100]		LVP	Dwayne Bacon (ORL): -16.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.66	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.66	0.21	0.47	0.01	25	67%	0.70	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.04
Devonte' Graham	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.12	-0.01	14	50%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	11	82%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.08	0.02	0.00	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.06
LaMelo Ball	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	11	48%	-0.01	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.26	0.26	0.04	0.22	-0.00	8	62%	0.30	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	7	87%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Bone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	22	48%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.2,-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	-0.11	0.04	16	54%	-0.01	4	-0.14	7	57%	-0.02
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	26.5	14.7	25.3	2.5	31.0	126.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +38.7%

ORL -7.0%

ORL -2.6%

CHA +17.4%

CHA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	14.4	111.5	106.1	111.3
season	14.2	14.9		109.4	103.9
opponent	14.0	14.7		113.4	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.6	14.7	13.3	13.7	14.3
ORL	14.4	15.9	13.9	17.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devonte' Graham	68	69	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.79	-2	5	-7	15.4	11.7	3.62	15.5	15.1	0.42
Terry Rozier	77	79	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	-4	11	13.7	16.6	-2.89	15.6	14.4	1.24
P.J. Washington	62	65	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.56	0	3	-3	15.1	12.9	2.26	15.4	15.3	0.10
Gordon Hayward	78	81	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	6	-9	14.1	15.4	-1.32	14.6	19.2	-4.68
LaMelo Ball	55	55	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.18	15	-12	27	13.6	15.2	-1.58	16.3	14.2	2.10
Miles Bridges	50	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.10	8	-5	13	13.5	15.2	-1.74	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Bismack Biyombo	50	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.31	-11	14	-25	15.3	13.3	2.02	15.0	15.7	-0.67
Cody Zeller	30	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.16	5	-2	7	12.7	15.0	-2.35	15.7	15.2	0.45
Caleb Martin	10	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	7	-11	16.4	14.1	2.33	14.7	15.4	-0.77

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis III	46	47	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.01	10	-13	23	14.4	16.2	-1.76	13.9	14.8	-0.90
Nikola Vucevic	72	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-3	3	15.2	15.8	-0.65	13.8	15.8	-1.99
Cole Anthony	69	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-3	3	15.1	15.9	-0.75	14.0	14.9	-0.85
Jordan Bone	29	30	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	0	-3	15.9	15.1	0.75	14.9	14.0	0.85
Dwayne Bacon	35	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.35	2	-5	7	16.1	15.0	1.12	15.2	13.8	1.38
Terrence Ross	61	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	8	-19	15.8	14.7	1.11	13.8	15.1	-1.23
Gary Clark	72	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-2	1	15.4	15.4	-0.02	14.9	12.8	2.16
Khem Birch	37	35	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	3	-9	16.2	14.9	1.28	15.5	13.6	1.94
Evan Fournier	69	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	3	-9	15.0	16.2	-1.19	13.8	15.4	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.47,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 103, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.53,0.27,0.32,0.16,0.09,0.08,0	93.3%
UTA 82, NOK 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.35,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.03,0,0	92.8%
TOR 96, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.65,0.64,0.45,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	92.7%