NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	117		Excitement	4.9 [799]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +28.6%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	1.1 [1131]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (UTA): -12.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.29	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.32	0.05	0.07	23	77%	0.29	2	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Ivica Zubac	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	15	60%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	11	45%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	0.01	0.09	13	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
James Harden	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Terance Mann	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Kobe Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	36%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	5	93%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.04	12	69%	0.07	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	60%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	8	44%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	9	29%	-0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.6	3.5	29.2	15.6	31.5	2.8	27.3	140.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +31.7%

LAC +8.1%

UTA -2.1%

LAC +14.6%

UTA -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	14.5	119.4	103.0	113.9
season	14.9	14.7		116.6	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.4		119.0	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.6	13.6	14.9	16.4	15.1
UTA	15.0	14.6	13.4	13.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	77	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-4	22	15.1	15.2	-0.10	14.1	13.6	0.53
Terance Mann	62	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-3	20	15.1	15.2	-0.13	14.2	13.7	0.54
James Harden	68	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-4	22	15.5	14.1	1.41	14.1	13.7	0.45
Ivica Zubac	85	86	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	1	12	15.5	12.3	3.23	14.3	12.1	2.23
Paul George	74	76	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	0	14	15.5	13.9	1.58	14.8	11.5	3.33
Norman Powell	59	62	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	12	-10	14.5	16.1	-1.60	13.1	15.5	-2.44
Russell Westbrook	36	37	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	19	-24	14.0	15.8	-1.76	13.6	14.2	-0.67
Kobe Brown	29	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	21	-28	14.7	15.3	-0.60	12.4	14.6	-2.22

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taylor Hendricks	28	27	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-18	22	13.2	14.3	-1.03	12.9	16.0	-3.07
Talen Horton-Tucker	51	49	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-18	22	13.5	14.6	-1.10	13.6	16.7	-3.12
Ochai Agbaji	38	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-19	24	13.5	14.3	-0.75	13.3	16.1	-2.81
Kelly Olynyk	37	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-20	26	13.4	14.3	-0.93	14.8	15.3	-0.53
Collin Sexton	40	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-13	12	13.8	14.1	-0.23	13.5	16.1	-2.63
Walker Kessler	62	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-4	-6	14.3	13.5	0.83	16.0	13.6	2.48
Simone Fontecchio	62	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	5	-24	14.3	13.5	0.75	16.1	13.3	2.81
Jordan Clarkson	54	54	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.03	-16	2	-18	14.4	13.5	0.95	16.4	13.5	2.84
John Collins	74	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	4	-22	13.8	14.4	-0.59	15.2	14.7	0.52
Keyonte George	54	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.18	-25	11	-36	14.8	13.0	1.75	16.5	13.5	3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 109, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.5%
ATL 109, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
TOR 125, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%