NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	123		Excitement	7.5 [300]		MVP	E'Twaun Moore (NOP): +41.2%
Houston Rockets	130		Comeback	3.1 [385]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (NOP): -21.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.41	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.41	0.28	0.13	-0.00	20	90%	0.47	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27	0.28	0.01	0.02	21	84%	0.38	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Cooke	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	0.01	0.02	12	54%	0.15	8	-0.28	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.22	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.02	-0.17	0.03	17	53%	-0.10	4	-0.12	11	55%	-0.14

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.25	0.12	0.01	12	96%	0.38	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.22	0.09	0.02	14	87%	0.36	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
James Harden	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.2,0.19,0.26	0.26	0.09	0.16	-0.01	16	63%	0.35	3	-0.09	9	67%	-0.05
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.01	16	59%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	59%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	6	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	30.4	15.3	21.9	1.7	29.3	123.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +14.2%

HOU +15.7%

NOP -10.9%

HOU +30.8%

HOU +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	HOU	NBA	NOP	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	13.4	14.7	117.1	125.0	107.5
season	13.6	14.6		108.0	112.8
opponent	14.8	14.6		105.6	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.9	12.4	14.5	16.5	14.2
HOU	14.3	11.6	14.3	13.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	92	91	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.39	10	-17	27	13.9	16.3	-2.41	13.5	12.5	1.02
Jalen Jones	19	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	0	-7	14.9	14.0	0.91	13.9	13.3	0.63
DeMarcus Cousins	74	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.45	11	-18	29	13.9	15.0	-1.18	13.8	12.3	1.47
Omer Asik	27	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.13	-12	5	-17	15.0	13.9	1.08	12.1	13.8	-1.68
Ian Clark	48	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	11	-29	13.7	14.6	-0.83	12.0	14.4	-2.31
E'Twaun Moore	91	91	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-7	7	14.1	15.1	-1.09	13.6	11.5	2.16
Darius Miller	85	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	-2	-3	14.1	14.7	-0.68	13.2	13.9	-0.64
Rajon Rondo	89	90	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.25	-14	7	-21	14.9	10.2	4.66	13.6	11.6	2.06

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	76	74	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.25	22	-15	37	13.3	13.5	-0.15	15.2	11.9	3.26
Trevor Ariza	85	85	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.33	13	-6	19	13.1	14.4	-1.24	14.1	14.8	-0.74
Clint Capela	53	53	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.43	9	-2	11	13.1	13.7	-0.61	13.7	14.7	-1.09
Chris Paul	70	72	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	2	3	13.6	12.9	0.75	13.8	15.0	-1.17
PJ Tucker	47	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.21	21	-14	35	12.9	13.7	-0.80	15.2	13.4	1.86
James Harden	76	77	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	9	-11	13.4	13.2	0.14	14.1	14.4	-0.26
Ryan Anderson	40	40	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.06	-13	20	-33	14.0	13.0	1.01	13.5	14.6	-1.05
Luc Mbah a Moute	46	49	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.07	-9	16	-25	13.4	13.3	0.10	13.3	14.9	-1.60
Nene	27	27	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.03	-11	18	-29	13.8	13.2	0.57	15.0	13.9	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.69,0.45,0.77,0.91,1	91.8%
ORL 90, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.77,0.74,1	91.6%
MIL 97, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.41,0.53,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.9,0.91,1	91.1%