NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	8.2 [225]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +24.8%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	3.2 [229]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -17.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.06	0.18	-0.02	21	65%	0.33	3	-0.08	15	60%	-0.07
Robert Horry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.10	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Rick Fox	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Glen Rice	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.04
Kobe Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	20	47%	-0.00	3	-0.08	13	69%	0.04
Brian Shaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	44%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Ron Harper	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	5	33%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.10

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.07	0.01	15	76%	0.26	3	-0.09	11	82%	0.06
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.08	0.03	17	56%	-0.05	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	7	37%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	9	20%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.6	34.0	19.8	29.6	2.8	46.0	162.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +23.3%

LAL +16.0%

PHX -2.3%

LAL +13.2%

PHX -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.0	14.8	15.2	116.7	108.8	101.7
season	15.3	14.8		105.6	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.1		96.8	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	21.1	14.6	18.0	14.8	17.0
PHX	14.1	16.7	13.3	15.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	74	75	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.16	23	-17	40	16.3	20.4	-4.18	15.0	13.9	1.09
Brian Shaw	49	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-12	30	15.5	18.8	-3.32	14.9	14.7	0.23
Kobe Bryant	89	90	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-2	10	17.0	13.0	4.04	15.0	1.0	13.99
Shaquille O'Neal	85	85	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-2	10	17.5	9.2	8.26	15.3	7.7	7.67
Rick Fox	15	16	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	-4	14	18.1	16.8	1.36	15.8	14.6	1.19
Glen Rice	74	74	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.33	-5	11	-16	17.0	17.2	-0.23	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Derek Fisher	2	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	7	-8	10.0	17.2	-7.16	7.7	15.1	-7.41
Ron Harper	43	42	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.33	-13	19	-32	17.9	16.2	1.69	14.3	15.3	-0.93
A.C. Green	19	20	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.17	-18	24	-42	19.5	16.3	3.20	12.7	15.4	-2.74

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Day	16	14	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-10	14	13.2	15.2	-2.00	12.0	17.9	-5.92
Oliver Miller	15	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-3	0	14.6	14.9	-0.28	13.8	17.6	-3.81
Corie Blount	21	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-4	2	15.3	14.7	0.65	19.0	16.4	2.57
Kevin Johnson	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	1	-8	14.7	14.8	-0.12	20.3	16.5	3.73
Rodney Rogers	51	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	6	-18	14.6	15.1	-0.56	16.7	17.3	-0.58
Clifford Robinson	70	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-6	6	15.7	11.9	3.81	18.0	13.5	4.50
Luc Longley	44	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-8	10	15.6	14.1	1.51	18.0	16.0	2.00
Anfernee Hardaway	89	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	14.7	23.0	-8.35	16.8	25.5	-8.69
Jason Kidd	76	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.45	-3	-3	0	14.8	15.1	-0.36	16.3	20.6	-4.31
Shawn Marion	62	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.43	-4	-2	-2	14.2	16.3	-2.11	17.1	16.8	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 86, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.38,0.54,0.23,0.13,0	91.8%
LAL 96, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	91.7%
CLE 87, WAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.67,0.55,0.21,0.23,0.42,0	91.1%