NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Excitement	8.2 [218]		MVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): +27.9%
Washington Wizards	84		Comeback	5.2 [218]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -29.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.28	0.05	0.24	0.01	9	65%	0.36	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Daniel Gibson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	4	91%	0.15	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Alonzo Gee	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	9	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Luke Walton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.07	0.00	11	37%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jeremy Pargo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	10	30%	-0.01	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.27,-0.3	-0.03	-0.29	-0.03	23	46%	-0.22	2	-0.08	11	64%	-0.18

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	86%	0.11	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.03	10	64%	0.10	4	-0.10	5	80%	-0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	15	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	14	57%	0.06	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.10
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.15	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.7	27.2	15.7	24.1	1.8	33.7	126.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +15.7%

WAS -2.6%

WAS -0.9%

CLE +36.9%

CLE +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	16.6	15.7	15.4	98.9	93.3	104.1
season	15.5	15.1		102.5	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.2		101.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.6	15.6	16.8	17.7	16.6
WAS	15.4	14.4	17.5	15.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Zeller	67	70	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.52	9	-6	15	15.7	19.5	-3.81	15.8	15.5	0.25
Kyrie Irving	68	70	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.50	7	-4	11	15.9	19.1	-3.27	16.0	14.9	1.09
Alonzo Gee	63	65	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.55	3	0	3	15.8	18.8	-2.98	15.8	15.5	0.37
Dion Waiters	53	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.58	-6	9	-15	15.5	18.4	-2.90	14.9	17.1	-2.19
Daniel Gibson	35	36	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.11	9	-6	15	18.4	15.5	2.90	16.8	15.0	1.77
Tristan Thompson	70	71	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.39	-10	13	-23	16.6	16.7	-0.12	15.3	17.6	-2.33
Luke Walton	39	38	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.15	7	-4	11	18.2	15.3	2.88	16.8	15.0	1.81
CJ Miles	25	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.14	0	3	-3	18.8	15.8	2.98	15.5	15.8	-0.37
Jeremy Pargo	20	20	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.09	-4	7	-11	19.1	15.9	3.27	14.9	16.0	-1.09

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	51	49	0.44	-0.94	1.37	-0.30	25	-28	53	14.1	17.8	-3.71	17.6	15.4	2.18
Shelvin Mack	55	53	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.06	7	-10	17	16.2	15.1	1.12	15.9	17.7	-1.81
Bradley Beal	43	41	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-8	13	14.8	16.6	-1.83	16.2	17.0	-0.80
Chris Singleton	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	3	-9	15.2	15.8	-0.69	14.2	17.0	-2.85
Cartier Martin	28	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	4	-11	16.5	15.4	1.10	18.0	16.1	1.92
Kevin Seraphin	20	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	12	-27	19.0	14.8	4.25	16.6	16.6	0.03
Martell Webster	65	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.55	4	-7	11	15.1	17.4	-2.35	16.3	17.5	-1.15
Emeka Okafor	58	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.48	1	-4	5	16.1	15.1	0.96	15.5	18.8	-3.32
Jan Vesely	37	38	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	8	-19	16.1	15.5	0.57	17.9	15.7	2.23
Jordan Crawford	47	47	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	5	-13	16.6	14.8	1.83	17.0	16.2	0.80
Garrett Temple	33	34	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.34	-10	7	-17	15.4	15.9	-0.55	17.3	16.2	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.67,0.55,0.21,0.23,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.28,0	91.1%
LAL 96, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	90.8%
NOK 86, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.38,0.54,0.23,0.13,0	90.2%