NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	2.2 [1220]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +8.8%
Indiana Pacers	86		Comeback	1.0 [570]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -9.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.00	-0.06	29	53%	0.11	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	16	67%	0.06	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	13	40%	0.02	3	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	76%	0.05	5	-0.07	5	80%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	41%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	52%	0.01	3	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	14	44%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.17	0.00	-0.08	15	37%	-0.05	5	-0.04	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.3	29.5	20.5	26.0	2.6	30.3	138.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +28.4%

PHI +6.5%

PHI +8.1%

PHI +2.9%

PHI +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	15.2	115.1	92.5	101.7
season	15.0	15.4		99.5	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.5		101.8	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.6	15.3	16.3	19.8	16.2
IND	17.1	16.0	14.4	11.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	88	88	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.20	26	-5	31	16.2	17.0	-0.83	14.9	12.4	2.49
Aaron McKie	92	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.12	21	0	21	16.3	10.0	6.28	14.7	20.0	-5.30
Theo Ratliff	75	74	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.06	16	5	11	16.5	14.9	1.58	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Tyrone Hill	72	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.22	21	0	21	16.1	16.8	-0.71	15.2	13.1	2.11
George Lynch	46	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.07	11	10	1	14.5	17.9	-3.31	16.1	13.3	2.75
Toni Kukoc	62	62	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	10	1	16.5	15.6	0.90	13.5	17.3	-3.85
Todd MacCulloch	14	14	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	16	-11	14.7	16.5	-1.77	15.4	14.6	0.71
Jumaine Jones	2	1	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	17	-13	20.0	16.1	3.87	20.0	14.7	5.30
Kevin Ollie	14	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.23	-10	31	-41	20.4	15.5	4.88	12.3	15.1	-2.84

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	34	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.15	-9	-12	3	13.9	15.3	-1.37	16.1	16.3	-0.14
Travis Best	39	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-15	9	13.5	15.6	-2.14	17.4	15.3	2.17
Austin Croshere	36	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-16	11	13.9	15.3	-1.32	17.1	15.7	1.49
Chris Mullin	60	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-11	1	14.1	15.9	-1.79	16.5	15.7	0.80
Derrick McKey	41	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-15	9	15.1	14.5	0.57	17.3	15.3	2.02
Dale Davis	57	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	-5	-11	15.3	13.9	1.32	15.7	17.1	-1.49
Rik Smits	51	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.12	-17	-4	-13	15.8	13.5	2.37	15.0	17.7	-2.67
Mark Jackson	54	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.09	-16	-5	-11	15.6	13.5	2.14	15.5	17.2	-1.66
Jalen Rose	93	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	-1	-19	14.8	0.0	14.75	16.1	28.0	-11.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 128, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
DAL 114, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
MIN 104, VAN 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%