inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 128 Excitement2.2 [1284] MVPMario Chalmers (MIA): +16.0%
Sacramento Kings 99 Comeback1.0 [1195] LVPTyreke Evans (SAC): -6.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0.160,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.340.000.1816106%0.182-0.0200%0.00
Mike Miller0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.100.000.04875%0.0600.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.001162%0.071-0.014100%0.02
Ray Allen0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.03953%0.0510.001100%0.00
LeBron James0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.110.000.071074%0.061-0.02786%0.00
Dwyane Wade0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01569%0.052-0.01683%0.01
Norris Cole0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.02650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.070.000.07580%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Harrellson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jarvis Varnado0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01350%-0.011-0.01475%-0.01
Joel Anthony-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01350%-0.001-0.022100%-0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.190.000.132272%0.083-0.01367%0.00
Jimmer Fredette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01664%0.041-0.012100%0.01
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Thomas Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01950%0.011-0.002100%0.00
Tyler Honeycutt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.03858%-0.001-0.00333%0.00
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01437%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.031144%0.013-0.033100%0.01
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.03831%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.030.000.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
John Salmons0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.090.00-0.0430%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Tyreke Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.120.00-0.05933%-0.033-0.04667%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.326.515.427.31.825.1123.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +37.8%
MIA +4.6%
SAC -1.4%
MIA +8.9%
MIA +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASACNBAMIASACNBA
this game15.516.015.4139.1108.8104.1
season15.715.0110.2104.7
opponent15.215.9109.4102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.216.213.521.415.5
SAC14.917.317.214.616.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade51510.400.100.31-0.5633-43713.717.7-4.0316.215.70.50
LeBron James60600.390.110.28-0.432812713.020.1-7.0415.916.0-0.08
Chris Bosh56550.350.150.20-0.352451914.017.8-3.8316.914.62.22
Mario Chalmers61610.330.170.15-0.502812713.918.6-4.6516.215.60.61
Mike Miller38370.280.220.05-0.051118-717.114.42.7816.016.00.04
Joel Anthony44420.260.240.020.05722-1516.914.22.6116.115.90.22
Udonis Haslem38390.220.28-0.06-0.392181313.117.2-4.0816.115.90.13
Norris Cole36350.170.33-0.150.06425-2119.113.25.8916.016.0-0.01
Ray Allen31300.100.40-0.310.18-332-3517.114.72.4616.115.90.13
Rashard Lewis20200.000.50-0.500.06-231-3321.413.97.5414.616.4-1.77
James Jones10100.000.50-0.500.03-130-3119.615.04.6014.616.1-1.55
Josh Harrellson550.000.50-0.500.12-433-3717.015.41.5910.816.3-5.48
Jarvis Varnado10100.000.50-0.500.03-130-3119.615.04.6014.616.1-1.55

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Honeycutt780.00-0.500.50-0.093-323514.716.1-1.3719.115.23.97
James Johnson2728-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-303115.016.4-1.3419.813.66.21
Tyreke Evans4646-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-4-252115.716.3-0.6116.414.61.74
Charles Hayes2224-0.14-0.360.21-0.06-3-262315.916.0-0.0919.314.25.13
Marcus Thornton4041-0.18-0.320.150.12-10-19916.815.31.5614.716.2-1.47
Thomas Robinson4243-0.20-0.300.090.12-11-18716.815.31.5017.014.22.77
Jason Thompson4644-0.23-0.270.050.18-14-15115.516.5-1.0513.717.1-3.40
Isaiah Thomas6564-0.24-0.260.020.26-17-12-515.816.3-0.5214.717.2-2.46
Jimmer Fredette2628-0.26-0.24-0.020.09-12-17516.315.80.5217.214.72.46
Francisco Garcia3030-0.32-0.18-0.140.38-24-5-1915.516.2-0.7613.016.7-3.71
DeMarcus Cousins6666-0.36-0.14-0.210.41-26-3-2315.916.1-0.1414.218.9-4.77
John Salmons3838-0.38-0.12-0.260.44-28-1-2716.615.51.0313.716.8-3.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 104, VAN 910.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.6%
DEN 124, MIN 1110.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.5%
PHI 107, IND 860.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.4%