NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	93		Excitement	6.7 [484]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +20.9%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.3 [779]		LVP	Brent Barry (SEA): -19.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.21	0.07	0.13	-0.00	25	54%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Vin Baker	0.04	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Horace Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	17	53%	0.09	3	-0.16	4	75%	0.01
Brent Barry	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.05	0.00	8	21%	-0.13	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.05	-0.03	8	68%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	9	74%	0.15	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	24	53%	0.08	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	14	53%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	17	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	32.0	19.6	26.2	2.8	38.1	147.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +20.7%

UTA +5.3%

UTA +14.5%

UTA +6.5%

UTA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.7	15.2	105.7	109.1	101.7
season	14.9	16.3		103.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		100.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.4	13.0	20.2	15.3	16.1
UTA	13.0	18.3	16.9	19.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	45	47	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-6	9	12.9	19.4	-6.55	17.5	15.7	1.83
Shammond Williams	8	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-5	7	15.2	16.1	-0.90	13.8	17.0	-3.23
Chuck Person	0	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-5	7	0.0	16.1	-16.07	0.0	17.0	-17.05
Vin Baker	57	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.45	11	-14	25	15.6	16.9	-1.29	17.2	15.7	1.46
Greg Foster	22	20	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	7	-17	19.2	15.0	4.15	15.5	17.0	-1.44
Rashard Lewis	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.43	1	-4	5	16.2	15.1	1.09	16.6	17.2	-0.61
Brent Barry	70	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	4	-11	16.3	15.0	1.34	17.1	14.8	2.30
Gary Payton	87	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	0	-3	16.2	6.0	10.18	16.8	11.0	5.79
Horace Grant	73	69	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.33	-14	11	-25	17.0	11.5	5.55	16.3	17.9	-1.58

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olden Polynice	53	55	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.31	18	-15	33	16.9	16.3	0.62	18.5	12.0	6.56
Bryon Russell	75	78	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-7	17	16.5	17.5	-0.94	16.3	14.6	1.66
John Stockton	74	74	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-5	13	15.9	20.7	-4.82	17.0	11.4	5.60
Karl Malone	77	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.44	4	-1	5	16.5	17.5	-0.91	17.0	9.0	7.97
Jeff Hornacek	58	58	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.39	-6	9	-15	17.9	14.2	3.73	16.8	14.7	2.03
Howard Eisley	44	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	-1	5	16.3	17.0	-0.77	13.7	18.5	-4.82
Scott Padgett	13	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	10	-17	17.5	16.5	0.94	14.6	16.3	-1.66
Greg Ostertag	26	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	11	-19	15.8	17.0	-1.15	11.0	18.1	-7.14
Armen Gilliam	20	18	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.02	-8	11	-19	17.5	16.4	1.09	11.7	17.2	-5.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 108, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.65,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.6,0.83,0.75,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	93.4%
BOS 104, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.78,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.85,1	93.2%
NOH 76, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.91,1	93.0%