NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	85		Excitement	8.5 [175]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +23.0%
Indiana Pacers	88		Comeback	2.5 [524]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -26.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,0.14,0.23,0.16	0.02	0.13	-0.01	22	52%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Darvin Ham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Vinny Del Negro	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.12	0.01	5	33%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	17	43%	-0.08	4	-0.09	8	75%	-0.04
Glenn Robinson	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	17	29%	-0.17	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.23	0.23	0.00	0.22	-0.01	9	44%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.17,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.07	0.02	21	57%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
Rik Smits	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	18	44%	-0.06	1	-0.03	12	83%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.17	-0.03	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.8	28.1	18.4	26.6	3.3	45.7	152.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +44.8%

MIL -12.2%

IND +28.7%

MIL -15.7%

IND +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	16.5	15.2	90.4	94.6	101.7
season	14.9	15.4		105.5	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.4		101.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.7	12.8	15.3	15.6	14.3
IND	12.4	19.1	16.0	19.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	21	20	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.05	6	-9	15	12.6	14.8	-2.21	16.0	16.7	-0.61
Darvin Ham	43	41	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.15	-3	0	-3	16.2	12.6	3.59	15.3	17.5	-2.25
Rafer Alston	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-3	3	14.6	14.3	0.31	23.6	16.0	7.62
Scott Williams	35	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-5	7	14.1	14.4	-0.23	18.6	15.2	3.43
Tim Thomas	58	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-1	-1	13.4	15.8	-2.42	17.3	15.3	2.00
Ervin Johnson	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	3	-9	14.0	15.1	-1.10	15.6	20.0	-4.49
Sam Cassell	87	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	0	-3	14.3	14.6	-0.31	16.0	23.6	-7.62
Glenn Robinson	81	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	2	-7	14.3	14.5	-0.20	16.4	17.1	-0.64
Ray Allen	65	66	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.51	-4	1	-5	14.8	13.2	1.56	16.8	15.9	0.90

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	67	68	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.46	19	-16	35	15.5	19.1	-3.59	15.0	12.4	2.63
Jalen Rose	72	73	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.48	10	-7	17	15.7	19.3	-3.56	15.0	11.9	3.07
Reggie Miller	89	89	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	-1	5	16.4	18.5	-2.06	14.4	12.8	1.57
Travis Best	35	35	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.37	-1	4	-5	19.9	14.5	5.39	13.9	14.5	-0.59
Sam Perkins	39	40	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.38	-4	7	-11	19.4	14.4	5.01	13.4	14.9	-1.46
Mark Jackson	58	59	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	-1	5	14.5	19.9	-5.39	14.5	13.9	0.59
Rik Smits	41	41	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	-3	9	14.7	18.0	-3.25	15.7	13.2	2.56
Chris Mullin	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	6	-9	20.0	16.0	3.99	12.8	14.5	-1.67
Derrick McKey	14	14	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	8	-13	17.1	16.4	0.73	11.4	14.8	-3.36
Austin Croshere	38	39	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.02	-15	18	-33	17.7	15.7	1.96	12.4	15.7	-3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.64,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.59,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, UTA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.68,0.58,1	92.5%
NYK 88, BKN 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.65,0.72,1	90.9%
NYK 81, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.9,1	90.9%