NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	80		Excitement	6.0 [365]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +11.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	92		Comeback	2.2 [376]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -35.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11	0.02	0.05	-0.04	12	61%	0.13	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Jeff Hornacek	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.03	0.02	10	70%	0.04	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thurl Bailey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	9	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.29,-0.33,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.21	-0.15	-0.01	16	23%	-0.24	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	7	82%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	7	77%	0.15	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.07
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	0.03	11	67%	0.11	4	-0.11	14	100%	0.05
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	13	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	8	19%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	8	16%	-0.13	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	33.4	18.8	28.1	2.6	39.0	149.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +22.0%

POR +5.9%

POR +19.3%

UTA -2.5%

POR +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	16.2	17.5	15.8	93.0	108.2	99.6
season	16.4	16.0		102.6	102.0
opponent	15.9	16.0		96.2	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.2	17.4	15.6	13.2	16.2
POR	16.8	18.6	17.1	17.6	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	62	63	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-18	24	15.3	18.5	-3.14	17.7	16.8	0.91
Thurl Bailey	25	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.16	-1	-11	10	16.0	16.3	-0.28	19.2	16.8	2.45
Bryon Russell	68	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-8	4	16.9	13.7	3.13	17.2	18.6	-1.37
Greg Ostertag	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-4	-4	16.6	15.8	0.81	16.6	18.2	-1.58
Karl Malone	80	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-7	2	16.2	15.5	0.75	17.9	12.2	5.73
Shandon Anderson	48	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-6	0	14.9	17.9	-2.99	17.8	17.2	0.63
Adam Keefe	17	18	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	0	-12	19.5	15.4	4.08	19.0	17.1	1.91
Jeff Hornacek	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-2	-8	15.6	18.0	-2.32	16.8	19.8	-3.08
Howard Eisley	26	23	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.10	-20	8	-28	17.7	15.6	2.09	16.2	18.0	-1.81

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	56	57	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-5	22	18.4	15.7	2.79	16.6	15.5	1.08
Jim Jackson	47	46	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	1	10	17.4	17.6	-0.25	16.1	16.3	-0.24
Isaiah Rider	59	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	1	10	16.3	20.2	-3.89	15.4	17.9	-2.47
Damon Stoudamire	51	51	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	2	8	17.5	17.4	0.09	17.1	14.9	2.12
Stacey Augmon	26	24	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	6	0	18.7	17.0	1.67	15.7	16.4	-0.68
Brian Grant	71	71	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	10	-8	17.5	17.4	0.16	16.1	16.5	-0.33
Greg Anthony	34	35	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	10	-8	17.4	17.5	-0.09	14.9	17.1	-2.12
Rasheed Wallace	53	53	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	11	-10	16.8	18.7	-1.91	16.5	15.7	0.76
Jermaine O'Neal	8	9	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	9	-6	16.5	17.6	-1.10	16.4	16.2	0.28
Walt Williams	20	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	15	-18	19.3	16.9	2.36	17.3	15.8	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 81, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
DET 71, ATL 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.63,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.63,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.92,1,1,1	93.1%
MIL 81, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	92.8%