inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 95 Excitement6.8 [438] MVPTim Hardaway (MIA): +17.4%
New York Knicks 90 Comeback3.2 [237] LVPJohn Starks (NYK): -21.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.170.050.130.001753%0.1700.00425%-0.03
Dan Majerle0.150,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.150.110.070.041275%0.232-0.0900%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.01839%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Ike Austin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.070.000.10960%-0.0300.002100%0.02
Alonzo Mourning-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.040.00-0.020.021856%0.032-0.071450%-0.02
Willie Anderson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.021100%0.012-0.0600%0.00
John Crotty-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.040.0020%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.00840%-0.052-0.034100%0.01

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Childs0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.120.120.090.070.031759%0.1200.003100%0.03
Scott Brooks00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Herb Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Larry Johnson0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.030.001261%0.102-0.13989%0.03
John Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.010.00825%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Buck Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.10-0.050.00835%-0.102-0.05475%-0.00
Charles Oakley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.03-0.15-0.001455%-0.083-0.10580%-0.01
John Starks0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.22,-0.23,-0.21-0.21-0.12-0.070.021647%-0.037-0.1800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.527.016.425.52.536.6134.7
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +57.2%
NYK -15.1%
NYK -13.7%
MIA +22.3%
NYK -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game16.115.615.6104.498.9104.4
season15.815.1103.1102.0
opponent16.116.398.898.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA18.316.418.212.016.1
NYK14.514.916.016.815.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ike Austin55530.67-0.170.840.3212-71915.616.8-1.2417.113.63.50
Dan Majerle82840.59-0.090.690.368-31116.016.4-0.4315.220.0-4.77
Tim Hardaway89880.56-0.060.620.367-2916.112.53.6315.88.37.51
Alonzo Mourning85850.52-0.020.540.346-1715.720.5-4.7615.221.0-5.79
Voshon Lenard56560.250.25-0.010.36-49-1316.116.00.0914.916.8-1.91
Willie Anderson29280.180.32-0.150.0932114.816.6-1.8516.715.11.62
John Crotty680.040.46-0.410.0114-312.816.3-3.4515.915.60.31
Jamal Mashburn5353-0.310.81-1.13-0.08-813-2118.013.34.7015.116.3-1.29

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Herb Williams3432-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-4316.615.01.5416.615.80.78
John Wallace2322-0.14-0.360.23-0.161-6715.315.7-0.3916.515.90.65
Scott Brooks77-0.22-0.280.06-0.02-72-918.115.42.7612.116.4-4.24
Chris Childs8585-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.342-7915.319.5-4.1816.214.22.02
Buck Williams5456-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.19-61-714.916.6-1.7815.517.0-1.54
Larry Johnson7980-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.34-3-2-115.714.61.1616.115.50.58
John Starks8685-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.33-50-515.419.0-3.6016.214.51.66
Charles Oakley8788-0.520.02-0.55-0.35-61-715.99.76.1116.113.72.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.46,0.25,0.08,0.11,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 84, CLE 740.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.53,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.03,0,093.2%
CHI 116, TOR 1030.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.73,0.7,0.46,0.46,0.2,0.07,0.03,0,092.7%
PHX 98, LAC 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.03,0.01,092.1%