NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	99		Excitement	5.2 [758]		MVP	John Starks (NYK): +25.8%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	1.3 [802]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -9.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	6	93%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	0.00	0.10	9	72%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	17	61%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	18	64%	0.08	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	12	46%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.08	0.13	-0.05	14	68%	0.28	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.07	0.06	17	71%	0.17	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.03	0.02	13	71%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	64%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herb Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	83%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	11	58%	0.02	4	-0.12	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	29.8	15.7	23.2	2.5	29.3	124.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +55.4%

CHH -8.1%

CHH -4.8%

NYK +4.3%

NYK +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NYK	NBA	CHH	NYK	NBA
this game	18.1	16.3	15.6	116.5	132.9	104.4
season	15.7	15.1		108.0	102.0
opponent	16.1	16.0		98.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.1	19.3	18.1	19.0	18.1
NYK	16.6	13.2	20.9	15.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Pierce	44	40	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.07	12	-22	34	17.9	18.4	-0.46	16.9	15.7	1.21
Muggsy Bogues	34	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-13	16	18.6	17.8	0.86	16.8	16.0	0.87
Malik Rose	11	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-6	2	14.5	18.7	-4.22	11.5	17.0	-5.50
Vlade Divac	67	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-12	14	17.9	19.1	-1.25	17.5	11.6	5.84
Tony Smith	2	2	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-5	0	32.5	17.8	14.72	9.0	16.5	-7.51
Glen Rice	76	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-7	4	18.5	15.1	3.38	16.4	16.1	0.25
Tony Delk	49	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-2	-6	17.2	19.4	-2.23	16.3	16.4	-0.12
Anthony Mason	75	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-6	2	18.6	14.5	4.11	16.8	12.6	4.24
Matt Geiger	26	24	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.02	-21	11	-32	17.9	18.2	-0.30	13.7	17.4	-3.71
Dell Curry	41	42	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.14	-22	12	-34	18.4	17.9	0.46	15.7	16.9	-1.21

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	64	66	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-3	16	17.2	13.2	4.05	18.7	16.3	2.40
John Starks	50	52	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.11	16	-6	22	14.4	19.3	-4.89	17.2	19.6	-2.36
Charlie Ward	26	28	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.14	13	-3	16	15.5	16.7	-1.16	19.9	17.2	2.68
Patrick Ewing	63	64	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	5	0	16.9	14.4	2.48	18.6	16.8	1.75
Allan Houston	74	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	6	-2	16.6	13.9	2.72	18.0	18.9	-0.85
Buck Williams	22	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	6	-2	15.0	16.8	-1.88	18.1	18.1	-0.06
Herb Williams	0	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	12	-14	0.0	16.3	-16.33	19.0	18.1	0.88
Chris Childs	56	57	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	13	-16	16.7	15.5	1.16	17.2	19.9	-2.68
Charles Oakley	33	35	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	17	-24	16.5	16.2	0.36	19.1	17.4	1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.0%
CHA 78, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	93.9%
DET 100, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,1	93.8%