NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	78		Excitement	5.7 [653]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): +14.9%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	1.2 [870]		LVP	Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): -20.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.07	-0.02	17	55%	0.16	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Jeff Taylor	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	80%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Reggie Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Byron Mullens	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	48%	0.03	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	17	43%	-0.04	3	-0.05	12	67%	-0.03
Ben Gordon	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	16	31%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.03	-0.01	12	15%	-0.15	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.01	16	76%	0.26	6	-0.16	5	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	6	77%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	5	90%	0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	6	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	5	46%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.04
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	33.9	17.8	27.4	0.6	30.1	137.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +47.3%

TOR +8.7%

TOR +11.6%

CHA -15.6%

CHA -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.4	86.7	101.1	104.1
season	15.6	16.1		99.9	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.0	16.5	16.1	15.2	16.4
TOR	15.5	11.4	17.4	18.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Adrien	1	1	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-15	16	24.0	16.4	7.64	3.0	15.5	-12.52
Jannero Pargo	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-15	16	14.7	16.6	-1.86	21.1	14.8	6.29
Byron Mullens	17	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-9	4	16.5	16.4	0.10	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Bismack Biyombo	38	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	-11	8	17.6	15.6	1.92	17.1	14.0	3.11
Reggie Williams	3	3	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-8	2	29.7	16.0	13.68	16.0	15.4	0.64
Gerald Henderson	81	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-8	2	16.1	19.2	-3.09	15.7	12.2	3.51
Jeff Taylor	45	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-8	2	17.7	15.2	2.44	16.0	14.8	1.28
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	54	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	0	-14	15.9	17.3	-1.39	14.4	17.0	-2.67
Ben Gordon	51	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-2	-10	16.1	16.9	-0.84	14.3	16.8	-2.51
Kemba Walker	79	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-5	-4	16.1	18.8	-2.70	14.8	19.7	-4.94
Josh McRoberts	73	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	-3	-8	16.0	18.4	-2.35	15.6	14.6	0.95

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	45	46	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.06	20	-6	26	14.6	16.1	-1.46	16.5	16.4	0.16
Sebastian Telfair	40	39	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.07	14	0	14	13.8	16.6	-2.83	18.4	14.9	3.47
Rudy Gay	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	4	6	16.1	13.6	2.46	16.2	17.1	-0.86
Alan Anderson	45	43	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	4	6	14.7	16.0	-1.33	16.9	16.0	0.93
Amir Johnson	84	83	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	3	8	15.4	15.3	0.11	16.0	21.1	-5.09
Jonas Valanciunas	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	12	-10	15.9	15.0	0.90	17.8	15.5	2.37
Landry Fields	26	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.05	4	10	-6	14.7	15.7	-0.97	18.1	15.8	2.32
Kyle Lowry	51	51	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	14	-14	16.6	13.8	2.83	14.9	18.4	-3.47
DeMar DeRozan	61	59	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	15	-16	15.7	14.8	0.82	15.3	18.7	-3.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 99, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
SEA 95, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.93,1,1,1,1	93.4%
NJN 85, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.94,1,1	93.3%