NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	103		Excitement	7.9 [275]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (ATL): +38.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	96		Comeback	2.8 [206]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -22.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0.38	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.38	0.15	0.20	-0.03	18	63%	0.42	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	8	65%	0.13	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Danilo Gallinari	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.07	0.07	0.02	13	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
John Collins	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	6	87%	0.20	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Lou Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	8	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.35,-0.38,-0.33,-0.27,-0.32,-0.32,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23	-0.18	-0.03	0.01	23	37%	-0.04	6	-0.19	11	82%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	10	73%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	24	44%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.04
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	21	60%	0.19	8	-0.27	10	70%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	3.4	33.3	15.0	30.5	2.8	41.2	153.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +21.0%

ATL +20.7%

PHI -5.8%

ATL +17.4%

PHI -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	14.4	103.0	98.0	111.3
season	14.7	14.5		112.8	112.6
opponent	14.2	14.5		106.7	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.9	14.0	16.5	14.8	14.8
PHI	16.1	14.2	14.1	12.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	83	83	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.44	7	0	7	15.1	13.2	1.86	14.4	13.6	0.83
Danilo Gallinari	63	61	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	-2	11	14.5	15.3	-0.82	14.9	13.4	1.45
Kevin Huerter	82	83	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	0	7	14.9	14.3	0.61	14.5	13.1	1.38
Onyeka Okongwu	33	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	-2	11	14.3	15.0	-0.67	15.0	14.0	1.06
Clint Capela	67	67	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	9	-11	15.0	14.3	0.67	14.0	15.0	-1.06
Lou Williams	25	23	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	6	-5	13.9	15.1	-1.15	13.2	14.6	-1.42
Bogdan Bogdanovic	47	46	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	15	-23	15.5	14.1	1.38	12.8	15.6	-2.79

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shake Milton	14	15	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.14	6	-13	19	9.6	15.1	-5.52	12.5	15.2	-2.72
Furkan Korkmaz	39	39	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.03	5	-12	17	13.2	15.0	-1.83	15.2	14.5	0.61
Dwight Howard	13	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	18.6	13.6	4.97	14.7	14.8	-0.10
Tyrese Maxey	28	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	0	-7	17.4	13.1	4.37	13.1	15.5	-2.31
Ben Simmons	74	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-8	9	13.9	15.4	-1.47	15.7	12.1	3.60
Joel Embiid	85	87	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-5	3	13.6	18.6	-4.97	14.8	14.7	0.10
Seth Curry	63	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-5	3	13.7	15.4	-1.66	14.6	15.1	-0.47
Matisse Thybulle	40	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	3	-13	15.3	13.6	1.68	15.5	14.3	1.16
Tobias Harris	91	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-1	-5	14.5	12.0	2.48	14.8	14.1	0.71
George Hill	43	46	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.25	-15	8	-23	15.0	13.8	1.24	14.3	15.2	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.45,0.29,0.11,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.54,0.47,0.21,0.32,0.15,0	92.3%
DET 84, CLE 82	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.14,0.15,0	92.1%
NYK 89, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.79,0.54,0.39,0.32,0.21,0.08,0.05,0	91.7%