NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	7.7 [353]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): +31.4%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	11.2 [244]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (IND): -25.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.31,0.26,0.2	0.03	0.18	0.02	21	52%	0.25	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Tyreke Evans	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	65%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Thaddeus Young	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Myles Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.26	-0.06	-0.18	0.03	8	37%	-0.16	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.21	0.15	0.04	26	69%	0.36	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.08,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.19	0.04	20	63%	0.33	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.16	0.02	7	72%	0.25	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.01	2	125%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	6	50%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	8	0%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.4	25.4	16.5	23.6	3.4	34.4	133.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.9%

BOS +3.7%

BOS +22.2%

IND -12.4%

IND -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.3	14.3	96.8	105.3	109.3
season	14.5	13.9		108.4	109.9
opponent	14.7	14.6		106.3	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.1	14.5	16.0	18.2	15.3
BOS	15.1	16.2	14.0	16.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Holiday	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	12.8	15.7	-2.84	16.9	15.1	1.81
Myles Turner	67	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.31	6	-14	20	15.1	15.8	-0.63	14.4	17.4	-3.04
Doug McDermott	21	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-1	-6	17.8	14.6	3.19	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Tyreke Evans	37	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.22	-14	6	-20	15.6	15.2	0.44	15.1	15.4	-0.34
Darren Collison	65	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.39	5	-13	18	15.0	16.1	-1.17	14.9	16.2	-1.25
Wesley Matthews	56	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-13	18	14.9	16.0	-1.08	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Cory Joseph	40	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.18	-16	8	-24	15.8	15.0	0.77	15.3	15.3	-0.07
Domantas Sabonis	41	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	5	-18	16.1	14.8	1.32	15.6	15.1	0.46
Thaddeus Young	64	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-8	8	14.9	16.2	-1.28	15.7	14.6	1.09
Bojan Bogdanovic	68	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.37	-4	-4	0	15.4	15.2	0.19	16.3	13.0	3.34

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	38	36	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.21	19	-11	30	15.4	15.2	0.23	17.4	14.0	3.43
Jayson Tatum	75	74	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	0	8	16.2	11.7	4.54	15.3	15.3	-0.03
Al Horford	72	72	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	5	-2	15.7	13.9	1.83	15.5	14.7	0.85
Jaylen Brown	52	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	9	-10	15.4	15.1	0.30	15.1	15.7	-0.64
Kyrie Irving	78	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	4	0	14.7	18.5	-3.85	15.0	17.2	-2.21
Gordon Hayward	56	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	-2	12	14.6	16.3	-1.65	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Marcus Morris	43	41	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	4	0	14.5	16.0	-1.43	15.5	15.2	0.32
Daniel Theis	26	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.16	1	7	-6	14.9	15.5	-0.59	14.1	15.8	-1.69
Aron Baynes	30	29	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	16	-24	16.0	15.0	1.02	15.1	15.4	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.4,0.67,0.81,0.46,0.34,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 104, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.21,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.34,0.41,1	89.6%
SAC 86, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.45,0.33,0.27,1	88.9%
PHX 113, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.42,1	88.8%