NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	2.1 [1288]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +12.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Comeback	1.0 [1166]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -6.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	10	64%	0.04	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Greg Monroe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.01	2	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Al Horford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	8	56%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	9	32%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.00	0.03	12	79%	0.14	3	-0.02	10	80%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	11	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.14	0.00	0.10	5	140%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	5	71%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.02	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	12	46%	0.02	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	11	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.7	31.3	14.7	31.4	3.3	27.3	138.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +36.3%

BOS -0.1%

CLE +9.2%

CLE +2.8%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	14.7	91.5	120.8	107.5
season	15.1	14.8		106.4	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	15.7	15.4	14.8	15.1
CLE	16.6	15.0	14.0	15.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Abdel Nader	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-29	28	14.6	15.2	-0.61	15.6	15.1	0.55
Guerschon Yabusele	23	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-29	28	14.1	15.5	-1.33	15.3	15.1	0.18
Semi Ojeleye	42	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.18	-7	-23	16	14.5	15.7	-1.20	14.0	16.1	-2.05
Greg Monroe	32	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.14	-7	-23	16	14.2	15.6	-1.35	15.2	15.1	0.09
Aron Baynes	49	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-18	6	15.0	15.3	-0.25	13.8	16.6	-2.81
Marcus Smart	53	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.29	-19	-11	-8	14.3	16.2	-1.83	14.2	16.5	-2.29
Jayson Tatum	59	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-19	8	15.8	14.1	1.72	16.1	13.7	2.40
Jaylen Brown	41	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.29	-21	-9	-12	15.3	15.0	0.32	16.2	14.4	1.80
Terry Rozier	55	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.22	-20	-10	-10	14.9	15.4	-0.46	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Marcus Morris	48	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.35	-28	-2	-26	16.2	14.1	2.10	15.6	14.7	0.93
Al Horford	55	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.20	-23	-7	-16	16.1	13.8	2.21	16.0	13.9	2.17

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.42	31	-1	32	15.2	15.0	0.29	15.6	13.6	1.96
George Hill	59	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.27	24	6	18	15.5	14.6	0.86	15.3	14.9	0.32
Kevin Love	59	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.27	24	6	18	15.5	14.6	0.86	15.3	14.9	0.32
Tristan Thompson	43	41	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.22	22	8	14	16.5	14.1	2.38	16.4	14.2	2.26
JR Smith	51	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.17	20	10	10	15.2	15.1	0.12	15.4	14.8	0.55
Kyle Korver	42	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.15	8	22	-14	13.5	16.4	-2.90	15.0	15.3	-0.34
Jeff Green	39	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	25	-20	14.2	15.8	-1.59	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	37	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	24	-18	14.6	15.5	-0.86	14.9	15.3	-0.32
Larry Nance Jr.	43	43	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	25	-20	14.8	15.5	-0.66	14.5	15.7	-1.24
Cedi Osman	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	29	-28	15.6	15.1	0.55	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Ante Zizic	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	28	-26	16.7	15.0	1.70	11.8	15.5	-3.72
Jose Calderon	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	28	-26	16.7	15.0	1.70	11.8	15.5	-3.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, MIN 127	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
WAS 73, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
ATL 78, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%