NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	104		Excitement	3.2 [1182]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +9.8%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	1.3 [409]		LVP	Evan Turner (BOS): -14.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.06	4	117%	0.10	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	10	75%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	55%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	11	82%	0.02
Mike Scott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.00	3	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	11	42%	-0.00	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	48%	0.02	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	24	45%	-0.00	3	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
RJ Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	0.07	15	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	17	24%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	3.4	32.4	17.4	30.6	3.3	39.3	151.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +51.0%

BOS -3.2%

ATL +4.9%

BOS -6.0%

ATL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	13.1	14.9	103.0	89.3	105.1
season	14.2	13.9		104.1	104.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		101.9	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	15.0	16.0	14.3	15.1
BOS	12.5	15.6	12.3	12.4	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	78	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.11	21	-9	30	14.4	17.4	-3.00	12.9	13.9	-0.94
Al Horford	67	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-7	26	14.5	16.3	-1.77	13.4	12.7	0.72
Jeff Teague	55	54	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	13	-14	15.1	15.2	-0.06	12.8	13.5	-0.64
Paul Millsap	77	79	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.42	-6	18	-24	15.2	14.9	0.27	13.0	13.5	-0.47
Dennis Schroder	45	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.17	13	-1	14	15.1	15.2	-0.09	13.5	12.8	0.64
Kent Bazemore	67	68	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	9	-6	14.8	15.8	-1.06	13.5	12.4	1.07
Mike Muscala	18	18	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	2	8	13.6	15.4	-1.83	16.9	12.3	4.55
Thabo Sefolosha	28	26	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.25	-3	15	-18	16.2	14.7	1.57	10.6	14.0	-3.37
Mike Scott	40	43	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	11	-10	16.7	14.1	2.58	11.4	14.4	-3.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	29	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	9	-6	16.7	14.5	2.20	14.9	12.3	2.61
Kirk Hinrich	1	0	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	12	-12	19.0	15.1	3.92	0.0	13.1	-13.14

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Zeller	26	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.36	12	-24	36	12.5	13.4	-0.85	14.8	15.2	-0.37
Jared Sullinger	13	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-9	6	12.9	13.2	-0.24	16.8	14.9	1.94
RJ Hunter	9	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-4	-4	20.1	12.5	7.64	13.4	15.3	-1.89
Terry Rozier	35	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-7	2	13.7	12.9	0.83	15.8	14.7	1.11
Amir Johnson	41	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-4	-4	13.6	12.9	0.71	14.8	15.3	-0.57
Jae Crowder	56	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.41	7	-19	26	14.0	12.1	1.93	15.8	14.2	1.58
Kelly Olynyk	13	12	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	-1	-10	14.2	13.0	1.25	13.4	15.3	-1.93
Evan Turner	79	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-7	2	12.8	14.2	-1.45	15.2	15.0	0.15
Marcus Smart	76	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-1	-10	12.2	15.7	-3.48	15.2	14.8	0.42
Isaiah Thomas	94	93	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-8	4	12.5	20.1	-7.64	15.3	13.4	1.89
Jonas Jerebko	73	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.32	-24	12	-36	13.3	12.6	0.71	14.3	16.9	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 113, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
CHH 106, MIA 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
GSW 116, MIN 107	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	96.5%