inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 106 Excitement2.9 [1153] MVPEddie Robinson (CHH): +7.8%
Miami Heat 80 Comeback1.2 [510] LVPP.J. Brown (CHH): -6.6%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Robinson0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.110.030.06978%0.0800.0000%0.00
Baron Davis0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.001088%0.136-0.06683%0.00
David Wesley0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.09-0.010.041177%0.102-0.0500%0.00
Jamal Mashburn0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.002253%0.041-0.029100%0.01
Hersey Hawkins0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03350%0.0200.00450%0.00
Otis Thorpe0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Burrell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eldridge Recasner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02075%0.0010.00475%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02557%0.022-0.034100%0.02
Jamaal Magloire-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Derrick Coleman-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.07614%-0.031-0.002100%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.070,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.01425%-0.022-0.0500%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.01275%0.0400.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00-0.00844%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.021355%0.013-0.003100%0.00
Cedric Ceballos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02337%0.0000.00250%0.00
Duane Causwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.05-0.01-0.051350%0.033-0.04250%-0.01
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.01864%0.033-0.06667%-0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.03367%0.025-0.0800%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.000.02656%-0.042-0.02667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.628.220.631.42.732.6143.0
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +21.8%
CHH +7.8%
CHH +7.1%
CHH +13.4%
MIA -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHMIANBACHHMIANBA
this game15.215.115.5111.684.2100.9
season15.816.399.798.4
opponent16.115.696.997.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH14.016.215.015.815.2
MIA17.314.415.013.615.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Mashburn74740.420.080.33-0.3827-12814.218.9-4.6516.011.84.20
Elden Campbell45450.390.110.27-0.202061415.814.71.1217.113.23.89
Baron Davis67670.370.130.23-0.372512414.816.4-1.6016.012.93.16
David Wesley61590.360.140.22-0.232061414.716.2-1.5616.213.23.00
P.J. Brown68680.330.170.15-0.091412214.517.0-2.4215.214.70.58
Derrick Coleman31310.260.240.010.14422-1816.814.52.3913.815.7-1.90
Eddie Robinson33310.250.25-0.01-0.141313016.714.52.2015.614.80.78
Hersey Hawkins38390.120.38-0.260.06224-2217.213.93.3012.616.8-4.19
Jamaal Magloire31310.030.47-0.44-0.12521-1614.515.6-1.0613.615.8-2.14
Otis Thorpe9100.000.50-0.500.00026-2615.715.20.4810.515.6-5.12
Scott Burrell9100.000.50-0.500.00026-2615.715.20.4810.515.6-5.12
Eldridge Recasner9100.000.50-0.500.00026-2615.715.20.4810.515.6-5.12

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cedric Ceballos1090.00-0.500.500.000-262610.515.6-5.1215.715.20.48
Duane Causwell11100.00-0.500.500.03-1-252410.915.6-4.7216.815.01.75
A.C. Green1111-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-232010.915.6-4.7217.514.92.51
Eddie House3937-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-283013.616.1-2.4515.714.90.82
Bruce Bowen4445-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-221814.615.5-0.8315.315.20.15
Dan Majerle2828-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.02-8-181014.915.2-0.3217.214.42.86
Eddie Jones6768-0.29-0.21-0.080.33-21-5-1615.913.22.7014.517.0-2.42
Brian Grant6060-0.32-0.18-0.150.29-21-5-1615.214.90.2215.115.4-0.31
Anthony Carter5251-0.37-0.13-0.230.34-24-2-2215.614.41.2215.215.3-0.08
Alonzo Mourning5354-0.42-0.08-0.340.08-17-9-815.614.51.1315.115.4-0.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 104, BOS 920.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%
DET 113, NJN 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%
ATL 105, MIN 880.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%