NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	115		Excitement	2.5 [1231]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +12.3%
Houston Rockets	80		Comeback	1.2 [747]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (GSW): -9.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.27	0.00	0.15	19	83%	0.14	4	-0.01	10	90%	0.02
Andrew Bogut	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	8	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Festus Ezeli	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	7	37%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
David Lee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	16	53%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.05	16	47%	-0.04	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.16	0.00	-0.07	9	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	14	53%	0.02	4	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kostas Papanikolaou	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nick Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	5	20%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	8	25%	-0.06
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	16	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	15	36%	-0.06	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.4	36.3	16.6	30.4	3.3	27.3	143.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +27.3%

GSW +6.7%

GSW +8.9%

GSW +6.6%

GSW +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	13.2	15.1	115.0	81.6	104.2
season	13.6	14.3		109.2	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.5		103.1	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.0	17.1	13.2	18.6	15.9
HOU	17.0	13.6	12.1	10.6	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	68	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.45	32	3	29	15.0	17.6	-2.60	13.6	12.3	1.38
Draymond Green	76	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.60	36	-1	37	14.8	19.2	-4.46	13.8	11.5	2.31
Stephen Curry	75	73	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.52	33	2	31	15.0	18.5	-3.55	13.5	12.2	1.29
Harrison Barnes	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	21	-7	15.9	15.9	-0.01	13.3	13.1	0.18
Festus Ezeli	38	36	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.49	26	9	17	13.6	17.3	-3.72	14.5	12.4	2.09
Andre Iguodala	51	50	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.43	22	13	9	15.7	16.0	-0.31	13.2	13.2	0.07
Andrew Bogut	41	42	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	35	-35	17.4	14.8	2.63	13.4	13.1	0.35
Shaun Livingston	38	38	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	31	-27	16.8	15.3	1.46	13.0	13.3	-0.33
David Lee	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	31	-27	20.3	15.4	4.92	9.2	13.6	-4.38
Justin Holiday	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	33	-31	20.6	15.5	5.07	9.2	13.5	-4.30
Brandon Rush	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	33	-31	20.6	15.5	5.07	9.2	13.5	-4.30
James Michael McAdoo	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	33	-31	20.6	15.5	5.07	9.2	13.5	-4.30
Leandro Barbosa	20	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	37	-39	19.0	15.1	3.92	11.1	13.7	-2.58

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kostas Papanikolaou	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-33	31	9.2	13.5	-4.30	20.6	15.5	5.07
Nick Johnson	33	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.23	-8	-27	19	11.0	14.3	-3.28	17.1	15.2	1.86
Clint Capela	14	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.22	-11	-24	13	14.0	13.1	0.93	16.6	15.7	0.91
Corey Brewer	54	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.33	-16	-19	3	12.3	14.4	-2.10	16.8	14.6	2.19
Pablo Prigioni	14	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-29	23	16.9	12.6	4.35	16.2	15.8	0.40
Terrence Jones	38	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.35	-20	-15	-5	13.4	13.1	0.27	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Josh Smith	60	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.17	-15	-20	5	13.1	13.4	-0.27	15.9	15.7	0.18
Jason Terry	51	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.28	-21	-14	-7	13.6	12.8	0.80	14.9	16.8	-1.88
Dwight Howard	67	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-19	3	13.6	12.3	1.29	16.1	15.4	0.71
Trevor Ariza	86	87	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.42	-29	-6	-23	13.2	13.6	-0.43	15.6	17.9	-2.37
James Harden	67	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.44	-31	-4	-27	13.8	11.9	1.95	14.6	18.6	-3.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 113, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
NYK 98, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0	97.2%
PHX 115, CHA 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%