NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	117		Excitement	7.3 [348]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): +25.3%
Houston Rockets	101		Comeback	3.9 [88]		LVP	Corey Brewer (HOU): -14.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.15	0.12	0.02	11	87%	0.28	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.07	0.02	13	61%	0.16	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Blake Griffin	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	19	54%	0.17	5	-0.16	10	80%	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	11	55%	-0.07
Lester Hudson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.00	0.07	12	61%	0.06	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	18	55%	0.08	6	-0.14	2	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	13	63%	0.22	2	-0.04	9	44%	-0.04
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	6	92%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	8	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.03	13	63%	0.06	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	13	62%	0.13	9	-0.21	6	83%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	12	32%	-0.06	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	12	23%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	39.0	17.4	28.9	3.5	43.2	161.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +26.6%

LAC +13.9%

LAC +9.8%

LAC +0.0%

HOU -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.2	12.3	15.1	111.4	96.2	104.2
season	14.6	14.3		110.5	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.3		103.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.1	14.6	15.0	17.2	15.2
HOU	12.5	12.1	11.7	12.8	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	72	73	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.04	21	-5	26	14.8	15.9	-1.03	12.9	10.9	1.99
JJ Redick	91	91	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.03	20	-4	24	14.7	18.0	-3.26	12.0	13.9	-1.85
Matt Barnes	93	92	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.04	21	-5	26	15.1	15.8	-0.75	12.2	12.5	-0.23
Blake Griffin	92	91	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.09	21	-5	26	14.5	20.1	-5.60	11.9	14.6	-2.75
Jamal Crawford	69	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	6	4	15.4	14.7	0.77	12.4	12.1	0.27
Hedo Turkoglu	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	19	-22	19.4	14.5	4.91	14.6	11.9	2.75
Dahntay Jones	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	16	-16	0.0	15.2	-15.17	4.0	12.3	-8.34
Austin Rivers	61	63	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	14	-12	15.5	14.8	0.69	12.4	12.0	0.43
Lester Hudson	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	19	-22	13.4	15.3	-1.89	11.3	12.3	-1.01
Glen Davis	24	23	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	25	-34	17.5	14.5	2.96	11.4	12.5	-1.11

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pablo Prigioni	43	44	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.09	0	-16	16	12.3	12.2	0.08	15.8	14.7	1.04
Clint Capela	13	12	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-19	22	10.8	12.5	-1.70	15.9	15.1	0.84
Corey Brewer	53	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-14	12	11.8	12.7	-0.94	15.3	15.0	0.30
Terrence Jones	39	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-5	-6	12.8	11.9	0.90	13.4	16.2	-2.83
Josh Smith	57	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-19	22	12.7	11.7	1.01	16.9	13.1	3.77
Trevor Ariza	83	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-5	-6	12.7	10.7	1.99	15.3	14.5	0.85
Dwight Howard	83	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	1	-18	12.8	10.3	2.51	15.4	14.2	1.14
Jason Terry	70	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.06	-23	7	-30	11.7	13.3	-1.63	14.5	16.5	-1.98
James Harden	84	84	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.03	-22	6	-28	11.7	14.5	-2.77	14.5	18.0	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.7,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 112, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	93.3%
DET 96, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.36,0.24,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.9%
ORL 98, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.7%