NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	112		Excitement	6.6 [503]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +15.7%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	4.2 [206]		LVP	Dennis Rodman (DAL): -11.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.08	0.04	22	63%	0.18	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	20	59%	0.18	1	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Sam Cassell	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	18	67%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Vinny Del Negro	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Danny Manning	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Scott Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	18	51%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	13	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	14	60%	0.11	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	2	40%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Damon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	17	56%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	7	56%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	8	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Dennis Rodman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	5	46%	-0.02	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	28.3	16.4	26.5	1.5	28.5	127.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +20.7%

MIL +13.5%

MIL +7.5%

MIL +5.2%

MIL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DAL	NBA	MIL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.2	117.9	106.5	101.7
season	14.9	14.8		105.5	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.4		104.6	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.5	13.6	15.2	17.5	15.6
DAL	14.8	13.5	16.8	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	78	74	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.10	21	-8	29	14.9	19.0	-4.13	15.7	12.5	3.20
Ray Allen	79	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-1	15	15.4	16.7	-1.30	15.0	15.1	-0.12
Sam Cassell	74	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-2	17	15.4	16.4	-1.05	15.6	13.2	2.45
Ervin Johnson	51	52	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	5	3	16.7	14.4	2.32	17.1	12.4	4.62
Danny Manning	40	42	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	4	5	17.4	14.3	3.18	13.5	16.3	-2.77
Darvin Ham	17	16	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	5	3	10.6	16.7	-6.12	14.0	15.2	-1.23
Vinny Del Negro	37	39	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.22	-3	16	-19	16.5	15.0	1.52	14.0	15.8	-1.80
Tim Thomas	48	48	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	15	-17	15.0	16.2	-1.23	14.6	15.5	-0.86
Scott Williams	51	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	18	-23	16.5	14.6	1.86	13.9	16.2	-2.32

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	11.0	15.2	-4.16	8.7	15.9	-7.16
Erick Strickland	45	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-9	5	17.0	13.1	3.88	15.0	16.2	-1.29
Dennis Rodman	69	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-11	9	15.5	13.6	1.94	15.5	16.0	-0.58
Hubert Davis	16	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-8	3	15.2	15.0	0.28	17.7	15.1	2.54
Steve Nash	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-5	-3	13.3	17.0	-3.77	13.8	17.5	-3.71
Cedric Ceballos	56	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	13.7	16.9	-3.20	16.1	14.9	1.12
Shawn Bradley	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	0	-13	15.5	14.0	1.46	16.6	13.7	2.81
Dirk Nowitzki	80	82	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	0	-13	15.2	13.7	1.55	15.7	15.2	0.44
Michael Finley	83	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	0	-13	15.0	15.5	-0.54	16.0	12.7	3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 100, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	94.5%
GSW 97, NOP 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.27,0.17,0.14,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.03,0.01,0	93.4%
LAC 117, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.7,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	93.3%