NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	87		Excitement	7.3 [359]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +40.5%
Golden State Warriors	97		Comeback	3.2 [890]		LVP	Omer Asik (NOP): -12.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	19	61%	0.16	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	13	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	12	58%	-0.04
Anthony Davis	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	22	50%	0.06	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.08
Norris Cole	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	11	48%	0.04	2	-0.11	1	0%	-0.03
Quincy Pondexter	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	8	18%	-0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.20	0.22	0.02	17	74%	0.40	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	63%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.06	-0.02	12	47%	0.09	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	7	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	7	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	5	42%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	21	51%	0.03	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	3.0	30.1	17.4	29.5	3.4	31.5	138.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +44.6%

NOP -15.6%

GSW +9.5%

GSW +11.4%

GSW +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	GSW	NBA	NOP	GSW	NBA
this game	16.6	14.4	15.1	93.5	104.3	104.2
season	15.8	13.6		106.3	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		99.7	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.0	19.0	16.6	17.8	16.7
GSW	13.7	12.9	14.7	15.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	19	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-8	6	15.1	17.2	-2.12	15.7	13.9	1.81
Quincy Pondexter	65	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.18	2	-12	14	16.8	16.7	0.04	12.9	17.1	-4.23
Alexis Ajinca	9	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-2	-6	17.2	16.7	0.53	16.4	14.0	2.38
Dante Cunningham	35	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-1	-8	16.6	16.8	-0.18	13.7	14.5	-0.77
Norris Cole	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-7	4	16.9	16.6	0.27	15.9	12.1	3.80
Anthony Davis	87	88	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-7	4	16.6	19.0	-2.41	14.2	15.4	-1.24
Tyreke Evans	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	3	-16	17.0	15.3	1.76	14.4	13.1	1.27
Omer Asik	45	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-5	0	17.6	16.0	1.58	13.9	14.6	-0.64
Eric Gordon	76	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.32	-9	-1	-8	16.5	17.9	-1.47	13.9	15.5	-1.52

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	84	84	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.13	24	-14	38	13.5	20.8	-7.25	16.3	20.6	-4.22
Klay Thompson	65	64	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.23	15	-5	20	13.4	16.1	-2.64	17.0	16.3	0.68
Stephen Curry	73	72	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	7	-4	14.8	12.1	2.71	15.8	20.1	-4.33
Andrew Bogut	63	62	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	6	-2	14.6	13.5	1.02	16.9	16.4	0.48
Andre Iguodala	55	56	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	10	-10	15.9	11.9	3.99	16.8	16.6	0.24
Marreese Speights	24	24	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	3	4	13.5	14.5	-0.92	18.2	16.2	2.03
Shaun Livingston	23	24	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	3	4	12.1	14.9	-2.78	20.5	15.4	5.12
Festus Ezeli	6	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	11	-12	13.5	14.3	-0.78	10.1	17.3	-7.14
Harrison Barnes	44	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	14	-18	13.7	14.7	-1.08	16.9	16.6	0.35
Leandro Barbosa	28	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	15	-20	16.1	13.4	2.64	16.3	17.0	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 106, TOR 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.94,0.94,0.97,1	92.6%
ATL 90, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.84,0.85,0.91,1	92.3%
CHA 100, GSW 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.85,1,1,1	91.9%