inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 94 Excitement7.2 [377] MVPMichael Carter-Williams (MIL): +20.6%
Chicago Bulls 88 Comeback2.0 [179] LVPDerrick Rose (CHI): -38.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Carter-Williams0.210,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.050.10-0.051569%0.254-0.052100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.04-0.02947%0.0700.001100%0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.030.01-0.061244%0.072-0.041100%0.01
Jared Dudley0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.010.00450%0.041-0.042100%0.02
O.J. Mayo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01848%0.011-0.035100%0.03
Khris Middleton-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.030.05-0.050.021660%0.063-0.083100%0.01
John Henson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01850%0.043-0.1000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.021127%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00233%-0.022-0.052100%0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.110.110.080.030.011564%0.203-0.10978%0.01
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.06-0.00-0.01857%0.0700.00580%0.01
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.01950%0.0000.0020%-0.04
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.0230%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01625%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.0130%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.08-0.022139%-0.072-0.06989%0.04
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.25,-0.3,-0.33,-0.33,-0.36,-0.34,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.39-0.39-0.24-0.16-0.012030%-0.226-0.17475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.730.217.432.43.435.4147.9
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +62.3%
CHI -1.1%
CHI -15.7%
CHI -1.5%
MIL +6.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILCHINBAMILCHINBA
this game15.515.315.1101.193.6104.2
season14.515.5100.5105.4
opponent15.215.7102.5101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.515.215.815.515.5
CHI17.214.214.915.215.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
O.J. Mayo52520.56-0.060.610.2012-61814.416.9-2.4715.315.30.04
Michael Carter-Williams74750.470.030.450.277-1815.017.5-2.4915.315.3-0.01
Khris Middleton73730.340.160.170.1951416.013.72.2915.116.1-1.01
Ersan Ilyasova58580.330.170.150.0310-41415.415.7-0.3116.114.11.99
John Henson45450.320.180.130.2333015.215.7-0.5315.415.20.26
Giannis Antetokounmpo71740.280.220.060.40-410-1415.714.71.0115.315.4-0.12
Zaza Pachulia46470.180.32-0.150.0933016.214.81.3915.615.00.62
Jerryd Bayless19190.030.47-0.450.06-17-817.515.02.4915.315.30.01
Jared Dudley27270.010.49-0.480.16-511-1615.115.6-0.4913.616.0-2.46

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Brooks12110.08-0.580.650.051-7814.315.5-1.1216.815.31.50
Mike Dunleavy38390.06-0.560.61-0.095-111615.815.00.8116.814.52.33
Taj Gibson30320.02-0.520.540.020-6613.216.3-3.0515.615.40.20
Kirk Hinrich44-0.17-0.330.160.09-93-1214.215.4-1.114.016.0-12.01
Joakim Noah6059-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.18-3-3017.012.34.7716.314.12.12
Jimmy Butler9089-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.423-91215.414.21.1116.04.012.01
Tony Snell5147-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.30-2-4214.616.1-1.4914.916.1-1.17
Pau Gasol6565-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.21-82-1014.816.5-1.7015.415.7-0.37
Nikola Mirotic3837-0.500.00-0.50-0.21-104-1415.615.10.4113.616.7-3.07
Derrick Rose8282-0.580.08-0.65-0.37-71-815.514.31.1215.316.8-1.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 104, TOR 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.01,093.8%
SAC 111, ORL 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.01,093.6%
LAL 96, DAL 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.05,093.2%