NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Excitement	7.1 [408]		MVP	Darren Collison (LAC): +40.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	65.7 [35]		LVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): -10.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.12,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.15	-0.00	24	61%	0.39	8	-0.17	18	83%	-0.04
Reggie Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,-0.01,0.12,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	22	54%	0.05	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.4	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.00	12	64%	0.40	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.25,0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.21	-0.04	16	53%	0.31	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.17	-0.01	19	51%	0.29	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	41%	-0.01	1	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	23	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	3.5	37.7	17.8	32.2	3.4	39.6	163.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +21.0%

LAC +9.1%

LAC +5.2%

LAC +10.7%

LAC +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	16.2	14.0	15.1	104.2	105.2	105.2
season	14.4	14.3		107.8	111.0
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.3	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.9	17.6	15.5	17.7	16.2
LAC	16.7	13.7	14.5	11.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	51	51	0.48	-0.98	1.46	-0.14	21	-23	44	14.9	17.7	-2.84	15.6	12.2	3.45
Nick Collison	20	20	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-5	8	14.2	16.7	-2.44	13.6	14.1	-0.43
Steven Adams	23	24	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.08	0	-2	2	17.3	15.8	1.48	14.5	13.8	0.74
Derek Fisher	9	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	4	-10	21.2	15.7	5.57	12.3	14.2	-1.89
Thabo Sefolosha	42	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.73	17	-19	36	14.2	17.8	-3.61	15.6	12.6	2.96
Caron Butler	51	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.30	-21	19	-40	18.0	14.1	3.85	12.1	15.9	-3.77
Kevin Durant	88	89	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	1	-4	16.5	12.7	3.74	13.9	14.9	-0.94
Russell Westbrook	76	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.58	1	-3	4	15.7	18.1	-2.34	14.3	12.6	1.70
Serge Ibaka	65	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.60	0	-2	2	15.8	16.9	-1.10	14.2	13.6	0.60
Reggie Jackson	50	50	-0.93	0.43	-1.35	-0.28	-22	20	-42	17.4	14.8	2.62	12.3	15.8	-3.48

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	29	30	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.51	11	-9	20	11.9	14.9	-3.05	17.1	15.8	1.30
Darren Collison	47	47	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-12	26	12.2	15.7	-3.56	16.9	15.5	1.37
Chris Paul	90	88	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.39	12	-10	22	13.8	17.0	-3.21	16.6	11.1	5.44
Blake Griffin	78	77	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.46	8	-6	14	14.3	12.7	1.63	16.6	14.4	2.14
Jamal Crawford	68	69	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-9	20	13.1	16.2	-3.19	16.7	14.7	2.05
Glen Davis	25	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	2	-2	13.8	14.1	-0.31	16.4	16.1	0.25
JJ Redick	35	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	8	-14	16.2	12.7	3.48	15.1	16.8	-1.65
Matt Barnes	44	41	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	0.14	-19	21	-40	15.4	12.8	2.66	14.9	17.2	-2.33
DeAndre Jordan	64	64	-0.53	1.03	-1.57	0.08	-21	23	-44	15.1	11.8	3.27	15.0	18.7	-3.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.28,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.14,0.04,0.07,0.19,0.21,0.43,0.72,1	91.3%
LAL 105, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.72,1	90.9%
MIA 81, BOS 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.36,0.43,0.27,1	90.7%