NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	8.4 [195]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +25.0%
Miami Heat	93		Comeback	3.3 [193]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): -24.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.25	0.09	0.17	0.01	8	78%	0.30	2	-0.05	7	57%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	15	72%	0.26	4	-0.12	10	90%	0.03
Paul George	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	16	63%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
David West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0	-0.03	0.05	0.01	9	46%	0.05	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.06,0,-0.08,-0.24,-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-0.01	12	42%	-0.08	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.15	0.15	0.18	-0.01	0.02	20	77%	0.51	5	-0.37	7	71%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0,0,0,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.01	14	52%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.03
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	6	43%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.15	-0.01	14	45%	-0.08	2	-0.10	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.5	44.9	18.0	30.5	2.8	43.2	171.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +10.0%

IND +10.7%

IND +33.9%

MIA -0.5%

MIA -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	16.4	16.1	15.4	109.0	105.7	104.1
season	16.1	15.7		102.4	110.2
opponent	15.9	15.5		102.4	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	16.2	17.5	17.3	16.4
MIA	15.7	16.5	16.8	15.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	77	76	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.50	15	-11	26	16.1	18.7	-2.56	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Lance Stephenson	73	74	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.37	15	-11	26	16.5	16.2	0.24	15.5	19.4	-3.88
Paul George	71	72	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.24	17	-13	30	16.5	16.4	0.01	16.2	15.4	0.88
George Hill	74	76	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.36	12	-8	20	16.6	15.7	0.94	16.4	14.3	2.04
Roy Hibbert	71	74	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.27	13	-9	22	16.9	14.8	2.10	15.9	16.9	-0.91
Orlando Johnson	3	2	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	9	-14	7.0	16.8	-9.78	6.0	16.3	-10.33
Ian Mahinmi	18	14	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	13	-22	14.8	16.9	-2.10	16.9	15.9	0.91
Sam Young	18	16	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.16	-15	19	-34	17.3	16.2	1.11	15.4	16.2	-0.88
D.J. Augustin	28	24	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.01	-12	16	-28	16.4	16.5	-0.13	18.0	15.4	2.57
Tyler Hansbrough	12	12	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.12	-11	15	-26	18.7	16.1	2.56	16.7	16.0	0.67

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	4	3	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-8	12	16.0	16.1	-0.10	15.7	16.5	-0.81
Mike Miller	6	7	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-7	10	16.0	16.1	-0.10	13.4	16.7	-3.28
Udonis Haslem	26	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-4	4	16.5	15.9	0.53	16.7	16.3	0.40
Chris Andersen	23	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-2	0	17.5	15.6	1.88	17.2	16.2	1.04
Shane Battier	24	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-3	2	18.3	15.2	3.08	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Norris Cole	32	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-5	6	17.8	15.1	2.71	15.9	16.7	-0.81
Ray Allen	39	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-4	4	15.7	16.4	-0.72	16.6	16.3	0.27
Mario Chalmers	56	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	1	-6	15.1	17.8	-2.71	16.7	15.9	0.81
Dwyane Wade	77	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	2	-8	15.2	22.1	-6.86	16.5	15.8	0.71
LeBron James	83	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.38	-7	3	-10	16.1	15.4	0.73	16.2	19.8	-3.55
Chris Bosh	70	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.42	-7	3	-10	15.9	17.0	-1.14	17.0	14.6	2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.38,0.55,0.43,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 77, BOS 70	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.28,0	92.0%
LAC 104, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.25,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,0	91.1%
MIA 102, BKN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	90.9%