inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 93 Excitement8.3 [217] MVPNate Robinson (CHI): +39.8%
Miami Heat 86 Comeback7.3 [39] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -23.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nate Robinson0.400,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.17,0.3,0.40.080.31-0.011664%0.473-0.071080%0.10
Jimmy Butler0.230,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.080.170.011358%0.302-0.061090%0.05
Taj Gibson0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.03-0.02955%0.0800.00450%-0.04
Marco Belinelli0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,0.06,0.06-0.030.09-0.001045%0.152-0.092100%0.01
Nazr Mohammed0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Marquis Teague0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joakim Noah-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.030.02962%0.063-0.103100%0.02
Daequan Cook-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.150,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.020.001127%-0.083-0.0600%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.330.330.080.24-0.021756%0.362-0.03978%0.02
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.00487%0.1000.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.05-0.02750%0.102-0.064100%0.04
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.02-0.03743%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00250%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.011041%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00533%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Mario Chalmers0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.040.00531%-0.0800.00650%-0.08
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.07-0.18-0.011644%-0.093-0.1500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.02.632.218.728.01.841.2156.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +37.7%
CHI +18.8%
CHI +17.9%
MIA -13.2%
MIA -11.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMIANBACHIMIANBA
this game17.015.615.4104.597.7104.1
season16.615.7101.7110.2
opponent15.915.2102.4102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI17.717.416.216.517.0
MIA14.216.118.114.015.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marco Belinelli85850.65-0.150.800.2414-72117.113.53.6315.616.0-0.45
Taj Gibson49460.61-0.110.730.359-21115.918.3-2.4715.515.6-0.10
Joakim Noah71710.58-0.080.660.2611-41517.315.51.8415.715.10.63
Nate Robinson76740.57-0.070.650.2810-31317.016.80.2315.516.0-0.51
Jimmy Butler89880.500.000.500.2970717.00.016.9715.60.015.57
Nazr Mohammed1312-0.020.52-0.540.01-18-916.317.1-0.7716.215.50.79
Marquis Teague1314-0.070.57-0.650.02-310-1316.817.0-0.2316.015.50.51
Daequan Cook43-0.150.65-0.800.05-714-2113.517.1-3.6316.015.60.45
Carlos Boozer4547-0.170.67-0.85-0.03-512-1717.816.11.6415.315.9-0.67

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Norris Cole31320.14-0.640.780.082-91117.414.62.8116.317.3-0.97
Shane Battier32320.13-0.630.760.014-111517.914.23.6215.617.8-2.19
Udonis Haslem34330.10-0.600.690.071-8915.315.7-0.4517.516.60.92
Chris Andersen2829-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-8917.814.53.2516.317.3-0.92
Mike Miller1211-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-6513.215.9-2.6818.116.81.28
Dwyane Wade6364-0.18-0.320.14-0.418-152314.318.8-4.5717.415.91.46
Chris Bosh5254-0.590.09-0.68-0.30-103-1314.716.9-2.2417.615.91.69
Mario Chalmers5455-0.630.13-0.76-0.37-92-1114.716.9-2.1917.416.21.18
LeBron James8181-0.670.17-0.84-0.23-158-2315.219.4-4.1917.115.91.20
Ray Allen5354-0.780.28-1.06-0.31-169-2516.514.22.2216.118.2-2.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 125, DAL 1210.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.57,0.16,092.4%
BOS 104, DEN 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.26,091.4%
SEA 84, DEN 800.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.68,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.68,0.15,091.0%