NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	4.4 [955]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +11.8%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	1.4 [1100]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -6.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	2	150%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	14	62%	0.07	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	7	36%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Shelvin Mack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	15	47%	-0.00	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	-0.00	0.02	10	86%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.03	-0.04	13	52%	0.15	4	-0.07	18	94%	0.08
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	11	57%	0.08	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Orlando Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	17	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.3	34.3	19.0	28.2	3.7	33.2	145.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -7.0%

IND +31.9%

IND +22.6%

IND +2.3%

IND +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.4	98.9	116.3	104.1
season	15.1	16.1		102.6	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.4	13.3	15.7	18.3	16.0
IND	13.9	14.4	15.0	19.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	3	4	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-19	21	12.0	16.1	-4.10	13.0	15.6	-2.63
Shelvin Mack	12	13	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-22	27	15.3	16.1	-0.73	14.8	15.6	-0.77
Dahntay Jones	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	7.5	16.2	-8.66	16.3	15.5	0.85
Mike Scott	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	7.5	16.2	-8.66	16.3	15.5	0.85
John Jenkins	13	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-14	11	14.5	16.2	-1.67	14.4	15.7	-1.38
Ivan Johnson	45	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-15	13	15.9	16.1	-0.20	14.5	16.4	-1.91
Johan Petro	25	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-18	19	15.9	16.0	-0.06	15.0	15.7	-0.62
Kyle Korver	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-5	-7	16.7	15.3	1.39	16.0	15.2	0.79
DeShawn Stevenson	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-11	5	15.7	16.3	-0.64	15.0	16.1	-1.05
Al Horford	52	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.05	-15	-2	-13	16.4	15.4	1.02	16.2	14.6	1.51
Devin Harris	75	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-5	-7	16.3	14.4	1.86	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Josh Smith	65	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	4	-25	15.9	16.1	-0.15	15.8	14.7	1.14
Jeff Teague	71	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	3	-23	16.2	15.1	1.05	16.1	13.9	2.19

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	76	76	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.06	23	-6	29	15.7	14.5	1.22	16.1	15.1	1.08
Paul George	83	83	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	2	13	15.9	12.3	3.52	16.0	15.6	0.38
George Hill	67	68	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.05	19	-2	21	16.7	12.4	4.22	16.3	15.0	1.35
David West	62	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	4	9	15.3	16.0	-0.78	15.9	16.2	-0.35
Roy Hibbert	62	60	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.06	15	2	13	16.1	14.3	1.85	16.7	14.5	2.15
Jeff Ayres	29	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	13	-9	14.1	16.2	-2.06	15.3	16.3	-0.96
Tyler Hansbrough	31	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	15	-13	16.1	15.2	0.93	15.4	16.3	-0.86
Orlando Johnson	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	14	-11	15.0	15.5	-0.52	10.0	16.0	-6.03
D.J. Augustin	25	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	19	-21	12.4	16.7	-4.22	15.0	16.3	-1.35
Gerald Green	23	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	24	-31	13.6	16.1	-2.54	15.5	16.1	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
UTA 84, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
BOS 79, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%