NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	9.4 [80]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +28.2%
Orlando Magic	99		Comeback	1.6 [591]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -25.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,0.28	-0.05	0.33	0.00	10	46%	0.45	3	-0.17	6	83%	0.12
Darren Collison	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.02	6	73%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	78%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	78%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.02	20	51%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	23	51%	0.17	5	-0.20	5	80%	-0.02
Paul George	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.13	0.03	18	59%	0.23	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.11	0.01	9	43%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.05	-0.05	10	50%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.14	-0.07	0.02	18	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Daniel Orton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	36%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.10	-0.14	0.01	15	34%	-0.09	2	-0.16	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.7	3.4	36.6	17.7	28.2	3.5	37.5	1.5	20.4	174.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +30.8%

IND +23.2%

IND +27.3%

ORL -39.4%

IND +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	17.3	15.7	15.6	104.1	103.1	102.8
season	15.7	16.2		104.2	102.8
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	15.3	15.5	17.9	20.4	18.6	17.3
ORL	16.7	14.5	16.4	13.9	18.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	36	34	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-11	24	15.3	18.5	-3.15	13.7	16.7	-2.97
Leandro Barbosa	45	45	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.05	13	-11	24	16.1	18.3	-2.24	15.8	15.6	0.19
Darren Collison	37	36	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-11	24	15.6	18.3	-2.65	14.1	16.6	-2.52
Lou Amundson	19	21	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-11	24	13.6	18.2	-4.55	15.4	15.7	-0.29
David West	84	84	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	2	-2	17.9	13.4	4.51	16.0	13.2	2.75
Danny Granger	76	75	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.49	-11	13	-24	17.5	16.4	1.10	16.0	14.4	1.57
George Hill	62	62	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.39	-13	15	-28	18.2	15.7	2.51	16.5	14.2	2.25
Paul George	66	65	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	6	-10	17.9	16.0	1.94	14.6	18.0	-3.41
Roy Hibbert	52	50	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	0.10	-16	18	-34	18.8	15.5	3.27	16.9	14.3	2.68

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Orton	6	6	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-4	6	13.8	15.8	-1.94	12.3	17.6	-5.28
Hedo Turkoglu	70	71	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.28	9	-11	20	16.1	14.5	1.59	18.7	13.3	5.44
Jason Richardson	76	75	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.52	14	-16	30	16.1	13.8	2.28	18.0	14.9	3.14
Chris Duhon	19	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	9	-20	15.3	15.8	-0.49	14.8	17.9	-3.14
Glen Davis	71	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.49	11	-13	24	15.9	15.0	0.94	18.9	12.5	6.42
JJ Redick	43	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-1	0	14.8	16.4	-1.57	17.3	17.3	0.05
Jameer Nelson	77	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.60	9	-11	20	15.8	15.3	0.49	17.9	14.8	3.14
Ryan Anderson	65	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	2	-6	14.6	17.9	-3.27	16.7	18.5	-1.85
Quentin Richardson	21	21	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	13	-28	14.7	15.9	-1.27	12.9	18.5	-5.66
Earl Clark	32	32	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.16	-24	22	-46	17.3	14.8	2.53	13.8	19.0	-5.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 93, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.08,0.08,0	91.2%
LAL 123, LAC 120	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.22,0.28,0	89.7%
ATL 102, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.15,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.46,0.25,0.07,0.09,0.02,0	89.4%