inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 93 Excitement8.3 [196] MVPMike Conley (MEM): +14.6%
Memphis Grizzlies 101 Comeback20.2 [98] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -36.1%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0.040,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.040.04-0.01-0.011252%0.0400.00367%-0.00
James Harden0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.030.020.020.01957%0.082-0.043100%0.01
Nick Collison-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00550%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Nazr Mohammed-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Eric Maynor-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.00325%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Daequan Cook-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.00737%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.030.01643%-0.041-0.022100%0.01
Russell Westbrook-0.170,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.27,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17-0.14-0.11-0.082244%0.047-0.218100%0.10
Kevin Durant-0.360,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.36,-0.36-0.04-0.34-0.022445%-0.312-0.0510%-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.010.13-0.011556%0.223-0.07250%-0.04
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.00162%0.0200.00683%0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.01250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.00542%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00550%0.051-0.071060%-0.12
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.011440%-0.0500.001267%-0.01
Sam Young0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.00633%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.110.01-0.120.001845%-0.1100.004100%0.02
Zach Randolph0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.28,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.35,-0.37,-0.34-0.34-0.10-0.210.022240%-0.273-0.07862%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.32.733.219.432.53.735.22.418.4173.8
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +32.5%
OKC -15.9%
MEM +20.2%
MEM +10.9%
MEM +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMEMNBAOKCMEMNBA
this game16.815.315.593.9102.0105.7
season15.015.5108.8106.1
opponent15.515.6103.7105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC16.515.017.519.814.516.8
MEM16.317.016.013.911.715.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thabo Sefolosha48480.36-0.861.220.0112-203217.915.91.9716.813.92.93
Daequan Cook1817-0.07-0.430.360.08-5-3-215.617.1-1.5712.815.8-2.97
Eric Maynor2221-0.08-0.420.340.12-7-1-615.217.3-2.1313.215.8-2.66
Nazr Mohammed1312-0.17-0.330.160.03-7-1-613.517.3-3.8915.215.3-0.13
Serge Ibaka7879-0.23-0.270.05-0.437-152217.414.82.6415.613.81.80
Nick Collison4745-0.23-0.270.040.09-113-1415.118.4-3.3814.615.9-1.25
Kendrick Perkins5255-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.311-91018.415.13.3816.114.21.90
Russell Westbrook7778-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.39-1-7617.315.22.1315.813.22.66
Kevin Durant8989-0.520.02-0.55-0.26-91-1017.114.52.6015.315.4-0.13
James Harden5151-0.860.36-1.22-0.27-2012-3215.917.9-1.9713.916.8-2.93

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Allen56550.85-0.351.190.7344014.815.9-1.0217.216.40.73
O.J. Mayo78780.84-0.341.180.1723-153814.817.2-2.4817.215.41.85
Marc Gasol72720.62-0.120.740.3011-31415.614.51.1017.714.53.24
Mike Conley87860.470.030.440.2771615.414.50.8917.314.03.27
Zach Randolph81820.350.150.210.41-210-1215.812.83.0617.015.91.08
Hamed Haddadi10120.120.38-0.26-0.0562415.515.30.2412.217.5-5.32
Greivis Vasquez12130.030.47-0.44-0.0017-614.515.4-0.8914.017.3-3.27
Darrell Arthur2221-0.110.61-0.72-0.05-210-1214.215.6-1.3616.017.1-1.12
Sam Young3130-0.340.84-1.170.05-1321-3415.315.30.0616.017.2-1.20
Shane Battier4646-0.340.84-1.18-0.4953215.714.90.7716.217.4-1.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 97, POR 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.22,0.13,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.55,0.34,0.84,0.46,0.45,0.79,0.94,0.91,190.2%
TOR 118, CHI 1230.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.39,0.55,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.84,0.91,190.1%
NJN 88, DET 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.74,0.84,0.78,1,188.5%