inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 118 Excitement9.5 [102] MVPDoug McDermott (CHI): +39.9%
Chicago Bulls 123 Comeback46.6 [27] LVPCristiano Felicio (CHI): -18.2%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.360,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.360.100.25-0.012357%0.462-0.091794%0.22
Cory Joseph0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.00-0.006108%0.152-0.031100%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.001164%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Lowry0.030,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.01,0.07,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.030.09-0.06-0.011756%0.123-0.081479%0.03
Jakob Poeltl0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lucas Nogueira-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00553%0.032-0.04771%0.01
DeMarre Carroll-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.04-0.00850%-0.0100.00250%-0.06
Norman Powell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02517%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Terrence Ross-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13-0.03-0.100.011035%-0.1300.0000%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.44,0.4,0.40.40-0.010.39-0.021746%0.432-0.033100%0.06
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.020.11-0.001055%0.161-0.02250%-0.01
Jimmy Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.15,0.21,0.13,0.09,-0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.090.090.11-0.020.012560%0.164-0.072090%0.13
Jerian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.050.050.060.000.02380%0.0500.004100%0.01
Robin Lopez0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00-0.00743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.010.01750%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00462%0.033-0.0800%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.04-0.130.011944%-0.072-0.117100%0.06
Cristiano Felicio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.01-0.160.01545%-0.161-0.021100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game21.11.830.715.832.81.735.52.323.4165.2
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.52.217.9136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +0.0%
TOR -6.5%
CHI +52.3%
TOR -8.4%
CHI +12.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCHINBATORCHINBA
this game13.615.514.8109.3111.8107.7
season15.215.1110.0105.9
opponent14.814.9105.9106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR14.512.611.817.311.013.6
CHI15.515.115.315.417.315.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Norman Powell23230.16-0.660.820.044-91316.312.93.3314.315.8-1.48
Jakob Poeltl430.12-0.620.73-0.035-10158.513.8-5.3419.015.43.58
Lucas Nogueira75770.05-0.550.590.10-2-3113.713.60.0515.615.30.26
Cory Joseph4647-0.03-0.470.430.11-50-514.013.40.5915.015.9-0.98
Terrence Ross5152-0.17-0.330.170.01-61-714.013.30.6814.816.2-1.42
Jonas Valanciunas6869-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.310-5514.112.91.1315.415.7-0.30
DeMar DeRozan8990-0.560.06-0.62-0.44-4-1-312.917.1-4.1415.914.01.86
Kyle Lowry8991-0.590.09-0.68-0.50-3-2-114.211.13.0715.615.20.44
DeMarre Carroll8587-0.660.16-0.82-0.39-94-1312.916.3-3.3315.814.31.48

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Mirotic65650.94-0.441.390.4218-133115.116.2-1.0814.013.10.87
Doug McDermott77760.87-0.371.230.4315-102514.817.1-2.2913.713.40.33
Cristiano Felicio50510.78-0.281.060.4312-71916.015.10.8814.612.81.76
Dwyane Wade78780.62-0.120.740.456-1715.715.10.6014.511.33.24
Jimmy Butler92900.60-0.100.710.378-31115.813.91.8813.116.3-3.17
Jerian Grant4846-0.160.66-0.82-0.1914-314.316.5-2.2113.114.0-0.89
Robin Lopez5856-0.310.81-1.12-0.05-914-2315.515.50.0312.914.4-1.51
Michael Carter-Williams3735-0.400.90-1.30-0.02-1318-3116.814.91.8713.313.8-0.56
Taj Gibson4543-0.440.94-1.39-0.06-1318-3116.215.11.0813.114.0-0.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.39,0.55,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.84,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 93, MEM 1010.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.95,190.1%
PHI 109, ORL 1120.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.73,0.46,0.53,0.71,0.57,0.85,189.9%
MIL 115, CHI 1170.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.72,0.46,0.31,0.63,0.84,0.84,189.3%