NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	83		Excitement	5.3 [792]		MVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): +22.8%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	1.1 [1083]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (ATL): -17.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.07	-0.01	11	72%	0.23	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.01	6	81%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	15	47%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	13	46%	-0.01	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	9	11%	-0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.02	24	54%	0.21	2	-0.06	13	77%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.02	18	53%	0.12	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.04
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.07	0.05	5	85%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.02	7	79%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	11	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.8	38.0	18.8	28.3	2.7	30.3	146.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +17.5%

CHI +18.6%

CHI +10.4%

CHI +3.4%

CHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	17.9	17.5	15.5	101.2	117.3	105.7
season	16.5	15.7		104.0	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		99.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.5	18.6	16.1	19.4	17.9
CHI	16.8	16.5	19.1	17.6	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	39	38	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-15	18	18.6	17.2	1.40	17.3	17.7	-0.36
Pape Sy	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	35.0	17.6	17.36	15.0	17.5	-2.51
Josh Powell	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	22.5	17.7	4.76	15.0	17.5	-2.54
Damien Wilkins	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	22.5	17.7	4.76	15.0	17.5	-2.54
Hilton Armstrong	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	22.5	17.7	4.76	15.0	17.5	-2.54
Jason Collins	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-8	4	16.2	18.6	-2.43	17.8	17.3	0.42
Marvin Williams	17	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-6	0	16.7	18.2	-1.45	15.1	18.0	-2.88
Josh Smith	64	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-6	0	18.0	17.3	0.67	17.9	15.7	2.16
Joe Johnson	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	-1	-10	17.9	17.5	0.37	17.9	15.3	2.52
Jeff Teague	70	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	0	-12	17.7	18.9	-1.25	17.2	19.3	-2.17
Al Horford	72	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	1	-14	17.6	19.4	-1.76	17.7	15.7	2.03
Jamal Crawford	46	45	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.21	-11	-1	-10	17.9	17.7	0.18	17.6	17.4	0.17

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	71	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-5	22	17.9	14.5	3.40	17.6	19.8	-2.22
Luol Deng	78	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-3	18	17.4	19.3	-1.92	17.8	19.3	-1.54
Taj Gibson	33	33	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	3	6	17.1	17.8	-0.71	19.1	17.0	2.02
Omer Asik	33	33	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	4	4	16.9	17.9	-0.97	18.6	17.3	1.26
Ronnie Brewer	35	34	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	6	0	17.2	17.7	-0.55	18.2	17.6	0.65
Joakim Noah	45	47	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	8	-4	17.7	17.2	0.47	17.3	18.6	-1.30
Kyle Korver	7	8	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	11	-10	18.6	17.4	1.19	15.0	18.2	-3.16
Carlos Boozer	51	51	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	9	-6	17.9	16.7	1.24	17.1	19.1	-2.00
Keith Bogans	41	42	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	10	-8	17.8	17.2	0.56	17.8	17.9	-0.14
Rasual Butler	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	15.0	17.5	-2.51	35.0	17.6	17.36
CJ Watson	10	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	17	-22	14.5	17.9	-3.40	19.8	17.6	2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 97, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.97,1	94.4%
NYK 98, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	94.1%
LAC 100, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.6%