NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	6.6 [470]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +12.3%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	1.4 [1124]		LVP	Kyle Korver (UTA): -12.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Henry Walker	0.02	0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	5	90%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	70%	0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	20	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.02
David Lee	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.06	0.03	9	80%	0.11	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	10	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	-0.00	16	70%	0.22	4	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	8	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.03	16	66%	0.11	4	-0.12	3	67%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	9	20%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	29.5	15.5	26.4	2.4	30.6	131.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.0%

NYK -5.1%

UTA +12.5%

UTA +3.3%

UTA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	UTA	NBA	NYK	UTA	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	15.3	101.0	106.2	106.0
season	14.7	15.3		105.9	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.5	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	13.2	12.9	14.8	14.2
UTA	13.8	14.5	14.3	20.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	78	79	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-11	17	13.4	17.4	-4.01	15.8	14.0	1.84
Henry Walker	44	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-4	3	14.1	14.3	-0.15	15.8	15.2	0.63
Sergio Rodriguez	39	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-8	11	13.9	14.4	-0.41	16.0	15.2	0.84
Toney Douglas	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	3	-11	14.4	13.9	0.41	15.1	16.1	-0.97
Eddie House	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	-3	1	13.9	14.4	-0.51	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Danilo Gallinari	85	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-3	1	14.2	14.5	-0.35	15.7	13.9	1.80
David Lee	72	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	3	-11	14.8	12.4	2.42	15.0	17.0	-2.03
Tracy McGrady	61	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.16	-13	8	-21	14.8	13.2	1.59	15.2	16.0	-0.86

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	62	63	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-3	11	16.7	13.4	3.28	14.2	14.1	0.12
Deron Williams	79	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-7	19	14.7	18.8	-4.03	14.4	13.2	1.16
Carlos Boozer	77	78	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.13	13	-8	21	14.5	19.4	-4.92	14.3	13.7	0.57
Mehmet Okur	69	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	2	1	16.3	13.5	2.85	14.6	13.3	1.23
Ronnie Price	28	27	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.45	-4	9	-13	19.5	13.9	5.58	14.4	14.1	0.34
Wesley Matthews	54	54	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.13	9	-4	13	14.0	17.4	-3.46	14.8	13.4	1.40
Paul Millsap	48	47	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	11	-17	15.9	15.1	0.88	13.5	14.9	-1.37
Kyle Korver	68	67	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	15	-25	14.9	17.0	-2.10	13.3	16.2	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.95,1,1,1,1	94.1%
WAS 94, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.56,0.4,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.87,0.9,0.99,0.98,1,1	93.5%
CLE 111, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.84,0.98,0.99,1	93.4%