NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	87		Excitement	7.5 [350]		MVP	George Hill (SAS): +19.4%
San Antonio Spurs	93		Comeback	2.0 [909]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -18.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Young	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16	0.06	0.05	-0.05	13	61%	0.21	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	73%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Leon Powe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	56%	0.10	4	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	9	41%	-0.02	1	-0.05	11	73%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	14	38%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	11	21%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	15	41%	-0.03	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.14	0.02	9	59%	0.23	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.06
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.01	8	80%	0.22	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	3	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.12	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	14	43%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	22%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	13	44%	0.02	5	-0.13	13	54%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	35.5	15.6	28.1	2.6	40.2	150.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +43.0%

SAS +5.7%

SAS +8.3%

MEM -7.7%

SAS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.0	15.5	89.7	93.9	105.7
season	15.5	15.5		106.1	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.5	14.5	14.8	13.2	15.4
SAS	12.7	14.3	14.0	15.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	53	54	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-9	12	16.6	13.9	2.66	13.5	14.6	-1.11
Leon Powe	4	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-2	-2	13.7	15.4	-1.68	19.6	13.7	5.86
Greivis Vasquez	6	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-2	-2	11.5	15.6	-4.12	18.4	13.7	4.72
O.J. Mayo	38	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-10	14	12.4	17.2	-4.79	15.6	12.9	2.72
Tony Allen	53	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	0	-6	17.3	13.0	4.32	13.4	14.9	-1.48
Sam Young	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-2	-2	16.3	14.0	2.27	13.5	14.8	-1.29
Mike Conley	84	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-6	6	15.8	12.5	3.26	13.4	17.7	-4.35
Darrell Arthur	42	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	4	-14	14.5	16.1	-1.60	15.0	13.3	1.77
Shane Battier	58	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.39	-5	-1	-4	13.6	18.0	-4.46	14.4	13.5	0.86
Marc Gasol	91	91	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	-2	-2	15.6	11.3	4.29	13.6	18.7	-5.12

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	71	70	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.20	16	-10	26	13.7	14.8	-1.09	15.3	15.5	-0.17
Tim Duncan	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	-1	8	13.7	14.8	-1.06	16.5	12.6	3.87
Richard Jefferson	69	69	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	2	2	13.1	16.2	-3.05	16.1	13.6	2.47
Tony Parker	73	73	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	2	2	13.0	17.1	-4.12	16.1	13.0	3.08
Antonio McDyess	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	6	-6	13.9	14.2	-0.29	16.4	14.1	2.24
Matt Bonner	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	3	0	14.8	13.5	1.22	14.3	16.1	-1.76
Danny Green	2	3	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	4	-2	3.0	14.3	-11.27	10.7	15.5	-4.84
George Hill	50	47	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.22	-5	11	-16	15.7	12.4	3.27	13.1	17.5	-4.46
Gary Neal	38	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	8	-10	15.9	12.9	3.05	14.2	16.0	-1.86
DeJuan Blair	27	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	5	-4	15.3	13.6	1.73	14.3	15.7	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.85,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.91,1	92.9%
DET 77, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.7%
BOS 77, MIA 78	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.58,0.57,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.92,0.99,0.92,1	92.6%