NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	91		Excitement	6.0 [590]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +21.9%
Boston Celtics	84		Comeback	1.6 [439]		LVP	Ray Allen (BOS): -35.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.09	-0.01	5	109%	0.22	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.04	0.07	0.02	12	57%	0.16	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.10	-0.00	11	46%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Kobe Bryant	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.01	29	44%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Shannon Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.16,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	16	69%	0.22	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.07	0.03	12	56%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	5	80%	0.20	3	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.36	-0.36	-0.22	-0.14	-0.01	13	7%	-0.28	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	3.6	33.0	20.8	29.0	3.8	43.3	162.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.8%

LAL +4.7%

LAL +4.5%

LAL +13.9%

LAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	18.3	16.0	15.3	108.3	100.0	106.0
season	15.7	15.5		107.9	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		102.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.9	19.7	20.4	18.7	18.3
BOS	17.1	14.6	17.5	14.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	48	49	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-7	21	17.8	19.0	-1.17	16.4	15.3	1.09
Derek Fisher	70	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-1	9	18.3	18.7	-0.46	16.2	14.6	1.57
Kobe Bryant	76	76	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-3	13	18.2	19.7	-1.57	16.4	12.1	4.23
Luke Walton	22	21	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.12	13	-6	19	17.0	18.8	-1.87	16.6	15.7	0.89
Andrew Bynum	51	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	7	-7	19.1	17.2	1.90	15.4	16.8	-1.43
Pau Gasol	69	68	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	7	-7	18.1	19.3	-1.14	16.0	15.6	0.48
Metta World Peace	43	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.51	-12	19	-31	19.0	17.7	1.27	15.7	16.2	-0.48
Shannon Brown	27	28	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	6	-5	18.9	18.1	0.82	15.8	16.0	-0.25
Sasha Vujacic	0	2	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	5	-3	0.0	18.3	-18.33	6.5	16.2	-9.68
Jordan Farmar	14	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	8	-9	18.7	18.3	0.46	13.9	16.4	-2.51

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	37	38	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.15	7	-14	21	16.0	15.9	0.09	19.2	17.6	1.55
Tony Allen	34	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	16.0	15.9	0.08	19.0	17.9	1.14
Rasheed Wallace	34	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	3	-13	15.4	16.3	-0.96	16.9	19.3	-2.49
Nate Robinson	12	11	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	2	-11	14.7	16.2	-1.40	16.0	18.7	-2.68
Rajon Rondo	73	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-9	11	16.1	15.1	0.99	18.7	16.0	2.68
Paul Pierce	60	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.39	1	-8	9	15.7	16.6	-0.88	18.2	18.7	-0.52
Kevin Garnett	55	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-7	7	16.3	15.3	0.93	18.2	18.5	-0.28
Glen Davis	41	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	4	-15	16.1	15.8	0.24	18.9	17.8	1.11
Ray Allen	74	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	3	-13	16.1	14.6	1.54	18.1	19.6	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 105, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.15,0.04,0.14,0.16,0	93.0%
GSW 104, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.16,0	92.9%
SAC 96, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.02,0.02,0	92.4%