NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Excitement	6.3 [516]		MVP	Tony Allen (BOS): +14.4%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	1.5 [561]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -19.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	4	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Anthony Parker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0.02	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	59%	0.08	3	-0.06	11	64%	-0.04
Jamario Moon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	9	52%	0.04	3	-0.11	7	71%	0.02
Delonte West	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	18%	-0.05	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
LeBron James	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	18	47%	0.02	7	-0.22	11	73%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	7	75%	0.21	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.05
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	11	64%	0.12	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	8	47%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Michael Finley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	21	42%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	21	50%	0.02	4	-0.13	16	69%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	36.3	3.7	38.2	20.5	31.8	3.8	40.2	174.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +20.5%

CLE -23.2%

BOS +32.0%

BOS +22.9%

CLE -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	15.3	89.7	99.0	106.0
season	16.1	15.5		109.5	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.0		102.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.0	15.8	12.3	14.3	14.8
BOS	13.0	13.7	17.7	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	73	74	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.17	9	-19	28	13.5	19.0	-5.48	15.9	10.9	5.07
Leon Powe	2	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-9	8	20.5	14.7	5.78	4.0	14.9	-10.93
Jamario Moon	5	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-5	0	17.2	14.7	2.49	8.5	15.3	-6.76
Shaquille O'Neal	54	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.09	1	-11	12	15.9	13.5	2.46	15.6	13.5	2.08
Antawn Jamison	74	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-13	16	13.5	19.2	-5.69	15.9	11.2	4.70
JJ Hickson	10	11	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	1	-12	18.0	14.5	3.53	11.1	15.2	-4.07
Anderson Varejao	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	-1	-8	14.8	14.9	-0.09	13.6	16.0	-2.31
LeBron James	87	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	0	-10	14.7	16.1	-1.41	14.9	12.9	2.02
Anthony Parker	83	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.22	-9	-1	-8	15.2	12.9	2.31	15.3	11.1	4.18
Delonte West	43	42	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.05	-18	8	-26	16.5	13.5	3.01	11.6	17.0	-5.40

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	96	94	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.16	14	-4	18	14.7	13.0	1.74	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Paul Pierce	66	67	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	0	10	13.5	17.2	-3.69	14.7	15.1	-0.34
Glen Davis	41	39	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	1	8	13.6	15.5	-1.88	15.1	14.7	0.45
Tony Allen	54	50	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-4	18	14.9	14.5	0.45	15.1	14.6	0.55
Rasheed Wallace	39	39	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-2	14	13.4	15.6	-2.19	16.1	14.0	2.12
Kevin Garnett	66	66	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	7	-4	15.8	12.4	3.37	14.4	15.8	-1.48
Michael Finley	8	5	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.14	7	3	4	9.5	15.2	-5.67	15.6	14.8	0.81
Kendrick Perkins	47	49	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	17	-24	15.7	13.8	1.92	14.4	15.2	-0.78
Ray Allen	73	76	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.25	-12	22	-34	15.8	11.4	4.49	14.6	15.7	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.89,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 111, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.98,1	93.0%
SAC 93, OKC 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.95,1	92.9%
LAC 99, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.95,1	92.9%