NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	9.5 [75]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +58.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	94		Comeback	18.8 [64]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -29.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.59	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,0.59	-0.07	0.66	-0.00	11	37%	0.73	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	3	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.00	8	69%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.00	5	92%	0.19	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Powell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	10	35%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.04,-0.29	0.03	-0.34	-0.02	25	56%	-0.15	5	-0.14	7	71%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	62%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	12	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	23	43%	0.06	1	-0.04	15	93%	0.07
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	10	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.06,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.10	-0.01	20	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	7	86%	0.04
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	5	40%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.9	2.8	37.2	19.7	27.1	3.7	31.7	151.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +129.3%

OKC -34.1%

OKC -14.4%

OKC -38.0%

LAL +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	17.5	14.8	15.3	105.6	106.8	106.0
season	15.7	15.0		107.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.0	15.4	19.7	18.4	17.5
OKC	12.9	15.2	13.0	18.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	67	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	0	1	17.8	16.8	1.02	14.2	16.6	-2.41
Pau Gasol	73	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	3	-5	17.7	17.1	0.60	13.9	18.6	-4.69
Metta World Peace	75	72	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.51	-6	7	-13	17.5	17.8	-0.31	14.4	16.5	-2.10
Lamar Odom	57	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.50	-6	7	-13	17.2	18.1	-0.86	15.5	13.7	1.81
Derek Fisher	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	1	-1	18.5	16.2	2.31	14.7	14.9	-0.23
Andrew Bynum	52	49	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	-3	7	18.4	16.3	2.08	14.9	14.7	0.16
Jordan Farmar	17	19	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	-6	13	17.7	17.5	0.20	17.5	14.0	3.50
Luke Walton	22	20	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-4	9	17.0	17.7	-0.72	17.3	14.0	3.32
Josh Powell	6	7	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	-2	5	11.2	18.0	-6.83	12.7	15.0	-2.25
Shannon Brown	29	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	2	-3	15.7	18.4	-2.69	14.9	14.7	0.12

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	55	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-1	1	14.1	15.9	-1.80	17.4	17.7	-0.28
Thabo Sefolosha	23	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	4	-9	13.2	15.3	-2.12	20.3	16.6	3.77
James Harden	24	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	0	-1	15.5	14.5	1.04	16.9	17.8	-0.92
Eric Maynor	11	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	2	-5	18.9	14.2	4.71	16.6	17.7	-1.03
Kevin Durant	78	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-5	9	14.4	17.7	-3.29	17.3	19.1	-1.75
Russell Westbrook	77	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-3	5	14.2	18.9	-4.71	17.7	16.6	1.03
Serge Ibaka	55	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-1	1	16.0	12.8	3.24	16.5	19.2	-2.72
Nick Collison	41	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.53	4	-5	9	14.8	14.7	0.08	17.7	17.4	0.27
Jeff Green	76	77	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.44	-6	5	-11	15.0	13.5	1.49	17.9	15.6	2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.54,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.36,0.57,0.73,0	92.5%
POR 80, HOU 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.47,0.37,0.55,0.58,0	91.3%
TOR 104, BKN 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.54,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.39,0.54,0.77,0.72,0	90.9%