NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	92		Excitement	9.3 [89]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +33.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	95		Comeback	2.6 [572]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -33.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	10	68%	0.21	3	-0.12	8	100%	0.11
Nenad Krstic	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	11	41%	0.02	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.06
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Eric Maynor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.03	0.02	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
James Harden	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Serge Ibaka	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	3	-0.23	2	100%	0.03
Kevin Durant	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.21,-0.33	-0.05	-0.27	0.01	26	55%	0.01	8	-0.34	6	83%	0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.06	0.25	-0.01	28	55%	0.46	4	-0.13	15	87%	0.05
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.12	0.06	0.08	0.02	14	61%	0.22	3	-0.09	13	69%	-0.03
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	9	22%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.00	10	25%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	9	30%	-0.16	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.10
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.23,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.13	-0.10	0.00	10	25%	-0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.6	32.3	20.4	30.9	3.5	49.4	168.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +4.1%

OKC -21.2%

LAL +39.0%

LAL +30.2%

OKC -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.5	15.3	94.8	96.9	106.0
season	15.0	15.7		106.2	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.2	14.0	15.6	13.6	14.1
LAL	14.0	16.6	14.5	17.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	59	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-5	7	14.5	13.3	1.17	14.7	16.7	-2.05
Eric Maynor	39	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-2	1	14.0	14.1	-0.04	13.9	16.5	-2.59
Nenad Krstic	47	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	1	-5	16.1	12.1	4.07	15.9	15.0	0.88
James Harden	20	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	3	-9	14.1	14.0	0.06	15.4	15.5	-0.07
Serge Ibaka	58	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.49	6	-9	15	12.5	16.4	-3.94	15.7	15.1	0.67
Kevin Durant	84	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-3	3	13.7	16.2	-2.43	15.1	17.8	-2.69
Russell Westbrook	58	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	14.1	14.0	0.04	16.2	14.3	1.94
Jeff Green	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-1	-1	14.8	10.3	4.56	16.3	12.0	4.26
Nick Collison	40	40	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	5	-13	12.3	15.3	-3.02	15.4	15.5	-0.13

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	26	26	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-8	19	15.3	15.5	-0.23	13.0	14.4	-1.38
Pau Gasol	76	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	-2	7	14.2	19.7	-5.48	14.1	14.0	0.07
Metta World Peace	85	84	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	3	-3	14.9	19.2	-4.24	13.7	16.2	-2.43
Kobe Bryant	82	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	5	-7	15.7	14.2	1.47	14.3	12.9	1.32
Lamar Odom	55	56	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.39	-1	4	-5	15.9	15.0	0.90	12.6	16.0	-3.46
Jordan Farmar	27	27	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	-7	17	14.5	15.9	-1.38	13.5	14.3	-0.74
Andrew Bynum	61	59	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	-4	11	17.1	12.8	4.24	15.4	11.9	3.50
Luke Walton	10	9	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	1	1	18.4	15.1	3.25	14.3	14.0	0.31
Josh Powell	4	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	8	-13	9.0	15.8	-6.76	14.0	14.1	-0.05
Derek Fisher	64	63	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.01	-12	15	-27	16.0	14.6	1.36	14.8	12.6	2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.45,0.68,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.96,1	91.8%
LAL 102, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.68,0.55,0.56,0.85,1	91.1%
CLE 82, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.61,0.37,0.67,0.85,1	91.1%