NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	4.0 [1021]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +10.7%
Orlando Magic	86		Comeback	1.9 [380]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): -11.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.00	23	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Lamar Odom	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.03	-0.04	12	59%	0.16	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	64%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	7	72%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Jordan Farmar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	11	26%	-0.05	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	3	133%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	9	52%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.06	8	60%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	15	37%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	0.04	19	42%	-0.05	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.5	31.4	20.3	31.4	3.7	32.3	150.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.6%

LAL +4.3%

LAL +1.9%

LAL +6.2%

LAL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ORL	NBA	LAL	ORL	NBA
this game	17.0	15.1	15.5	111.2	95.6	106.4
season	14.9	15.3		110.6	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.4		101.4	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	13.8	16.9	22.1	17.0
ORL	13.0	16.8	19.1	12.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	77	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	1	11	16.8	18.8	-2.07	15.4	13.7	1.61
Lamar Odom	58	59	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.06	16	-3	19	17.3	16.5	0.81	15.2	15.0	0.27
Pau Gasol	80	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-2	17	16.3	23.9	-7.61	15.3	13.3	2.01
Derek Fisher	62	61	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-3	19	15.4	20.7	-5.31	15.4	14.6	0.82
Kobe Bryant	81	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-1	15	16.8	19.6	-2.83	15.3	13.9	1.40
Luke Walton	24	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	12	-11	20.0	15.9	4.10	13.7	15.7	-2.02
Sasha Vujacic	8	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	14	-15	19.6	16.8	2.83	13.9	15.3	-1.40
Jordan Farmar	24	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	15	-17	19.5	16.2	3.30	15.0	15.2	-0.26
Andrew Bynum	31	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	19	-25	18.2	16.4	1.81	14.7	15.4	-0.71

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	6	6	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-14	15	14.3	15.2	-0.87	20.3	16.8	3.53
Jameer Nelson	24	22	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-15	17	15.1	15.2	-0.03	19.2	16.3	2.90
JJ Redick	24	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-18	23	12.1	16.2	-4.12	21.9	15.4	6.51
Marcin Gortat	18	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-14	15	16.8	14.7	2.04	17.5	17.0	0.51
Courtney Lee	50	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-7	1	15.3	14.9	0.40	15.9	18.6	-2.70
Mickael Pietrus	31	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	0	-13	16.1	14.6	1.45	15.6	17.8	-2.15
Hedo Turkoglu	78	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-2	-9	15.4	13.2	2.19	17.5	14.2	3.23
Dwight Howard	72	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	1	-15	14.7	16.8	-2.04	17.0	17.5	-0.51
Rafer Alston	63	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.05	-16	3	-19	15.3	14.7	0.63	15.6	20.6	-5.00
Rashard Lewis	84	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	1	-15	15.2	14.3	0.87	16.8	20.3	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
WAS 117, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%
LAL 101, SEA 77	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%