NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	3.4 [1083]		MVP	A.C. Green (LAL): +5.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	77		Comeback	2.3 [378]		LVP	Vernon Maxwell (SEA): -15.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.C. Green	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	85%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Glen Rice	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	14	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	19	57%	0.03	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.04
Robert Horry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	2	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Celestand	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	8	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Rick Fox	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	63%	0.04	2	-0.02	10	70%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	14	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.17	-0.01	-0.13	5	0%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	10	21%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	76.7	1.8	29.3	16.4	24.3	1.8	30.3	180.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +41.3%

LAL +0.9%

LAL +0.6%

LAL +4.1%

LAL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	16.9	14.9	15.2	111.0	85.6	101.7
season	15.3	14.9		105.6	103.5
opponent	15.4	15.1		102.6	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.7	14.8	17.5	16.6	16.9
SEA	14.0	15.8	14.4	15.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	60	59	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.03	20	4	16	17.1	16.5	0.58	15.6	13.6	1.98
Glen Rice	60	60	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.04	20	4	16	17.1	16.5	0.58	15.4	14.1	1.27
Derek Fisher	71	71	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.25	26	-2	28	16.8	17.2	-0.49	15.8	11.8	4.00
Robert Horry	45	47	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.30	27	-3	30	15.6	18.1	-2.51	15.6	14.2	1.36
Shaquille O'Neal	60	59	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	16	-8	18.2	14.4	3.81	15.3	14.2	1.10
A.C. Green	56	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	17	-10	17.4	16.0	1.46	15.2	14.6	0.64
Travis Knight	12	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	21	-18	14.2	17.3	-3.11	13.0	15.2	-2.19
Devean George	9	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	21	-18	14.7	17.1	-2.44	10.6	15.5	-4.91
Brian Shaw	36	34	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.13	5	19	-14	17.1	16.7	0.36	13.9	15.6	-1.75
Rick Fox	31	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.18	4	20	-16	16.5	17.1	-0.58	13.6	15.6	-1.98
John Celestand	15	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	27	-30	16.1	17.0	-0.96	11.7	15.6	-3.85

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emanual Davis	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	13.1	15.1	-1.95	15.9	17.0	-1.10
Vladimir Stepania	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-23	22	12.2	15.4	-3.26	15.5	17.1	-1.55
Rashard Lewis	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.13	-7	-17	10	13.4	15.3	-1.88	15.8	17.1	-1.36
Ruben Patterson	58	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.15	-8	-16	8	15.5	13.9	1.56	16.9	16.7	0.23
Chuck Person	24	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	-16	8	13.7	15.4	-1.63	14.9	17.6	-2.65
Greg Foster	24	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-18	12	13.8	15.3	-1.52	18.5	16.2	2.28
Shammond Williams	28	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.23	-15	-9	-6	15.2	14.8	0.34	15.2	17.6	-2.44
Brent Barry	50	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-17	10	14.9	14.9	-0.01	18.1	15.1	2.98
Vin Baker	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-9	-6	16.1	12.0	4.13	16.6	17.5	-0.83
Vernon Maxwell	49	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	-6	-12	14.7	15.2	-0.55	16.7	17.0	-0.30
Gary Payton	61	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	-8	-8	14.9	15.0	-0.08	17.0	16.5	0.53
Horace Grant	53	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	-6	-12	15.5	14.1	1.47	17.6	15.9	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 100, CLE 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
SAS 106, CHA 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIA 98, CHA 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%