NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	80		Excitement	4.7 [900]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): +15.7%
Houston Rockets	95		Comeback	1.0 [285]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -8.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	27	50%	0.11	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.05
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Shannon Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	10	65%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	15	47%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Luke Walton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.02	13	79%	0.20	4	-0.04	7	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	17	62%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	6	83%	0.20	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.02	-0.06	17	39%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	31%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	3.6	34.3	20.7	28.0	4.0	40.2	154.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +67.6%

LAL -2.6%

LAL -22.3%

HOU +2.7%

HOU +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	18.8	15.5	92.0	111.8	106.4
season	14.9	16.3		110.6	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	12.7	15.4	15.7	14.7
HOU	16.9	19.5	18.2	21.1	18.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	38	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-14	13	14.0	15.2	-1.18	18.5	19.1	-0.66
Derek Fisher	42	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-12	9	14.0	15.4	-1.38	18.0	19.6	-1.65
Sasha Vujacic	13	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-11	7	13.4	14.9	-1.53	19.0	18.8	0.18
Trevor Ariza	58	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-6	-3	13.9	16.2	-2.22	18.2	20.0	-1.83
Shannon Brown	27	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-9	3	15.4	14.3	1.09	19.7	18.5	1.16
Jordan Farmar	33	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-10	5	16.5	13.6	2.99	20.1	18.0	2.06
Kobe Bryant	71	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-4	-7	14.2	16.9	-2.68	19.0	18.2	0.74
Luke Walton	28	28	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-2	-11	15.5	14.3	1.19	17.9	19.3	-1.37
Lamar Odom	47	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	-7	-1	14.9	14.4	0.54	19.9	17.4	2.51
Pau Gasol	78	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	0	-15	15.1	10.9	4.24	18.6	20.5	-1.87

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	80	82	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	-4	23	18.6	22.0	-3.35	14.2	23.2	-9.03
Carl Landry	49	48	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-4	23	18.8	18.9	-0.02	15.1	14.2	0.92
Aaron Brooks	72	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	3	9	18.8	19.3	-0.54	14.4	16.4	-1.99
Luis Scola	66	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	9	-3	18.4	20.3	-1.82	14.7	14.6	0.14
Shane Battier	74	76	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	7	1	19.1	17.1	2.02	14.4	16.5	-2.12
Kyle Lowry	26	24	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	8	-1	19.2	18.7	0.55	17.1	13.8	3.31
Charles Hayes	51	55	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	12	-9	19.3	18.2	1.12	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Von Wafer	7	8	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	14	-13	18.4	18.9	-0.46	16.4	14.5	1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.4%
IND 96, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	94.2%
CHA 95, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%