NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	5.4 [737]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +22.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	1.6 [1056]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): -17.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.11	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	-0.00	0.04	14	74%	0.17	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Carl Landry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.14	5	-0.11	13	54%	-0.05
Von Wafer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Yao Ming	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.06	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Brian Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	0.00	0.02	14	40%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Aaron Brooks	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	15	43%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.04	7	0%	-0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.04	0.02	27	66%	0.26	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.02	0.04	13	69%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	7	35%	-0.03	4	-0.09	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	3.0	36.1	20.7	35.2	3.5	33.5	156.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +13.7%

LAL +1.8%

LAL +9.1%

LAL +24.7%

LAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.5	15.5	102.1	120.7	106.4
season	16.3	14.9		105.9	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		102.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.4	13.7	17.7	15.7	16.1
LAL	12.6	15.8	13.4	16.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	42	38	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.20	15	-28	43	15.2	16.8	-1.63	16.4	13.2	3.24
Carl Landry	50	46	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.22	10	-23	33	14.4	18.0	-3.60	15.2	13.8	1.39
Brian Cook	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	15.0	16.1	-1.09	14.0	14.5	-0.53
James White	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	15.0	16.1	-1.09	14.0	14.5	-0.53
Von Wafer	25	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-17	21	12.7	17.3	-4.60	13.6	14.8	-1.18
Kyle Lowry	48	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-14	15	14.1	18.0	-3.92	14.9	14.2	0.66
Aaron Brooks	84	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-1	-11	16.5	13.1	3.43	14.8	12.6	2.14
Metta World Peace	63	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	1	-15	18.0	12.5	5.53	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Luis Scola	47	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.07	-20	7	-27	17.4	14.8	2.67	13.2	15.8	-2.67
Shane Battier	69	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.04	-20	7	-27	16.4	15.1	1.30	14.6	14.2	0.42
Yao Ming	50	51	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	0.11	-29	16	-45	17.3	14.8	2.54	13.5	15.7	-2.18

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	73	72	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.01	19	-6	25	15.0	12.8	2.12	16.4	15.0	1.39
Kobe Bryant	75	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-6	25	15.0	12.5	2.52	16.0	16.3	-0.31
Lamar Odom	66	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-2	17	13.9	16.0	-2.06	17.2	13.3	3.88
Derek Fisher	52	53	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.04	17	-4	21	13.8	15.5	-1.73	17.8	14.0	3.86
Trevor Ariza	47	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	2	9	13.7	15.4	-1.68	18.4	13.9	4.51
Luke Walton	40	43	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	7	-1	15.5	13.8	1.69	13.8	17.9	-4.15
Sasha Vujacic	21	25	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	14	-15	12.2	15.2	-3.02	15.2	16.4	-1.19
Jordan Farmar	34	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	17	-21	16.3	13.5	2.76	14.9	16.8	-1.93
Shannon Brown	29	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	18	-23	16.1	13.8	2.36	12.3	17.9	-5.60
Andrew Bynum	17	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	19	-25	13.5	14.8	-1.29	15.8	16.2	-0.36
Josh Powell	6	8	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	19	-25	9.8	14.8	-5.02	15.0	16.2	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.7,0.68,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.91,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.93,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, SEA 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.9,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
POR 97, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.51,0.52,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
SAC 99, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%