NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	5.3 [745]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): +9.2%
Denver Nuggets	116		Comeback	1.0 [1169]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -18.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	12	54%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	14	62%	0.13	6	-0.15	4	100%	0.03
Wesley Person	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	64%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
Qyntel Woods	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	62%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	3	12%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	18	53%	-0.08	5	-0.11	17	59%	-0.04

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	9	65%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	11	67%	0.07	2	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	125%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.12	-0.05	0.07	22	67%	0.09	2	-0.09	14	71%	-0.04
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.03	8	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	31.2	15.7	29.8	1.8	32.2	137.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +33.5%

DEN +9.6%

POR -18.3%

DEN +26.4%

POR -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	13.6	15.7	95.1	113.7	100.5
season	17.1	14.9		101.5	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.1	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.7	12.8	13.7	18.0	14.6
DEN	13.0	12.9	14.6	14.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Stepania	10	11	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.14	-3	-16	13	11.1	15.0	-3.92	16.4	13.3	3.10
Travis Outlaw	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-16	13	11.0	14.8	-3.79	14.4	13.6	0.84
Qyntel Woods	25	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-21	23	14.4	14.7	-0.26	13.5	13.6	-0.09
Wesley Person	41	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-18	17	16.0	13.7	2.36	14.5	13.0	1.57
Ruben Patterson	57	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-8	-3	15.4	13.7	1.74	13.7	13.5	0.21
Dale Davis	35	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.12	-5	-14	9	15.8	14.0	1.73	14.9	12.9	1.96
Rasheed Wallace	75	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-10	1	14.7	14.6	0.06	13.4	14.2	-0.80
Derek Anderson	60	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.07	-14	-5	-9	14.5	14.9	-0.37	12.5	15.1	-2.55
Darius Miles	51	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-11	3	13.6	15.6	-1.98	14.0	13.2	0.78
Damon Stoudamire	68	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.16	-20	1	-21	14.3	15.3	-0.99	13.4	14.1	-0.73
Zach Randolph	84	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.13	-23	4	-27	14.6	14.9	-0.37	13.0	16.0	-2.95

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	80	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.04	22	-3	25	13.0	15.7	-2.66	15.2	12.4	2.84
Andre Miller	73	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	-1	21	13.2	14.5	-1.24	15.7	11.7	4.03
Voshon Lenard	60	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	5	9	12.8	14.7	-1.86	13.5	16.1	-2.64
Chris Andersen	56	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	7	5	14.6	12.3	2.32	14.2	15.1	-0.90
Carmelo Anthony	75	76	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.08	14	5	9	12.9	15.5	-2.61	14.8	14.3	0.49
Marcus Camby	36	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	12	-5	13.5	13.7	-0.19	15.5	14.2	1.29
Rodney White	27	26	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	14	-9	15.5	12.9	2.61	14.3	14.8	-0.49
Jon Barry	33	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.10	7	12	-5	14.7	13.1	1.58	15.6	14.1	1.51
Earl Boykins	32	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	24	-29	14.7	13.1	1.68	13.5	15.1	-1.66
Ryan Bowen	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	13.5	13.6	-0.10	12.2	14.8	-2.63
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	12	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.09	1	18	-17	15.6	13.3	2.25	10.5	15.2	-4.79
Francisco Elson	20	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	23	-27	12.0	14.0	-1.99	14.5	14.7	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.51,0.52,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, NJN 125	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
ORL 88, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
DAL 108, PHX 123	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.8,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.7%