inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 80 Excitement3.8 [1016] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +17.3%
San Antonio Spurs 99 Comeback1.2 [1036] LVPDavid West (NOH): -15.8%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyson Chandler0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.120.010.02887%0.1100.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike James-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03325%-0.0000.002100%-0.00
Melvin Ely-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03350%0.002-0.00475%0.00
Chris Paul-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.03-0.021854%0.053-0.063100%0.01
Julian Wright-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.03850%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Peja Stojakovic-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.030.031059%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Bonzi Wells-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01530%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Jannero Pargo-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
David West-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.050.011433%-0.102-0.062100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.200.030.051578%0.1700.00250%-0.02
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.160.010.045118%0.1300.0010%-0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.010.021456%0.071-0.03875%0.01
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.06617%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02250%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.000.02475%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.00-0.0830%-0.002-0.0100%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.011352%0.054-0.08367%-0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.01637%-0.021-0.03475%-0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.01450%-0.002-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.83.734.219.727.33.627.0145.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +45.9%
SAS +3.0%
SAS +3.8%
NOH -6.6%
SAS +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHSASNBANOHSASNBA
this game15.916.615.490.9111.2105.7
season15.916.5109.6104.7
opponent15.315.7100.5104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH17.816.514.015.315.9
SAS13.016.318.019.716.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Morris Peterson42420.03-0.530.55-0.125-242914.916.8-1.9716.516.7-0.20
Ryan Bowen1414-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-242913.116.4-3.3720.116.04.17
Melvin Ely1718-0.01-0.490.49-0.062-212313.816.4-2.5819.615.93.74
Julian Wright2221-0.04-0.460.43-0.123-222514.916.2-1.3318.316.12.23
Mike James2021-0.04-0.460.420.08-4-151115.316.1-0.7919.715.74.04
Bonzi Wells1514-0.12-0.380.260.03-5-14918.915.33.5714.517.0-2.53
Jannero Pargo2729-0.39-0.11-0.290.13-18-1-1716.015.90.1817.716.11.52
Peja Stojakovic6668-0.46-0.04-0.430.18-223-2516.214.91.3316.118.3-2.23
Chris Paul7272-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.01-16-3-1316.015.40.5815.820.2-4.38
David West7171-0.49-0.01-0.490.12-212-2316.413.82.5815.919.6-3.74
Tyson Chandler7475-0.50-0.00-0.500.20-245-2916.413.13.3716.020.1-4.17

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ime Udoka39370.61-0.110.71-0.2128-93715.817.3-1.4417.115.02.12
Tim Duncan66660.57-0.070.63-0.2026-73315.918.7-2.7316.414.51.88
Bruce Bowen52510.410.090.320.06127516.616.6-0.0315.516.5-0.95
Tony Parker59590.300.200.100.06811-315.718.5-2.7716.215.30.89
Fabricio Oberto35340.240.26-0.030.00811-317.116.30.8015.616.1-0.47
Manu Ginobili63640.220.28-0.06-0.13127516.018.3-2.3215.716.4-0.64
Robert Horry27270.220.28-0.06-0.13127514.517.6-3.0815.716.0-0.30
Jacque Vaughn14130.000.50-0.500.09-322-2520.116.04.1713.516.3-2.78
Brent Barry14130.000.50-0.500.09-322-2520.116.04.1713.516.3-2.78
Matt Bonner1090.000.50-0.500.03-120-2120.816.14.7016.015.90.10
Kurt Thomas3536-0.020.52-0.540.12-524-2917.516.01.5116.315.60.72
Michael Finley3131-0.040.54-0.57-0.07118-1718.115.82.2515.915.9-0.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 95, SAC 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,195.8%
MEM 89, LAL 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.6%
HOU 99, LAC 1240.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%