NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	79		Excitement	4.6 [876]		MVP	David West (NOH): +11.7%
New Orleans Hornets	101		Comeback	2.0 [648]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -18.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.04	0.05	14	55%	-0.02	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.01	18	27%	-0.10	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.19	-0.00	0.07	25	67%	0.18	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.04	18	47%	0.10	1	-0.01	11	82%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.07	6	59%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	3.5	36.3	20.4	26.8	3.6	31.6	151.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +18.8%

NOH +5.6%

NOH +8.6%

NOH +12.2%

NOH +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NOH	NBA	SAS	NOH	NBA
this game	17.6	16.4	15.4	92.9	120.2	105.7
season	16.5	15.9		104.7	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.3		104.0	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	19.9	17.7	19.9	13.4	17.6
NOH	13.5	15.0	17.1	20.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fabricio Oberto	28	28	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.19	-5	-17	12	16.2	18.3	-2.08	17.3	16.0	1.29
Jacque Vaughn	5	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-14	6	14.4	17.8	-3.45	17.0	16.4	0.60
Michael Finley	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.24	8	-30	38	15.1	18.8	-3.66	18.4	15.5	2.92
Ime Udoka	39	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.19	-7	-15	8	14.7	20.2	-5.51	18.8	14.4	4.41
Damon Stoudamire	6	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.24	-9	-13	4	13.7	17.9	-4.28	17.0	16.4	0.60
Brent Barry	23	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.12	-7	-15	8	13.3	19.3	-6.01	20.2	15.2	5.08
Robert Horry	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-16	10	18.9	17.4	1.53	14.4	16.8	-2.42
Kurt Thomas	21	22	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-8	-6	22.5	16.1	6.41	14.5	17.1	-2.67
Bruce Bowen	60	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	-8	-6	19.3	13.6	5.68	15.0	20.1	-5.12
Manu Ginobili	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	-8	-6	18.2	15.9	2.22	16.5	16.3	0.19
Tim Duncan	70	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	-8	-6	18.4	14.0	4.43	15.9	19.1	-3.26
Tony Parker	67	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.02	-20	-2	-18	18.5	14.6	3.92	15.5	20.0	-4.48

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	74	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.01	21	1	20	16.2	17.8	-1.56	17.9	15.6	2.32
David West	77	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	3	16	16.3	17.9	-1.56	18.0	14.1	3.89
Morris Peterson	64	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.00	19	3	16	16.7	15.4	1.35	17.9	16.8	1.04
Tyson Chandler	53	52	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	4	14	16.4	16.5	-0.14	19.7	14.4	5.27
Peja Stojakovic	79	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	6	10	16.4	16.2	0.24	17.8	15.4	2.39
Hilton Armstrong	5	6	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	17	-12	14.2	16.6	-2.37	14.8	17.9	-3.03
Mike James	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	16	-10	17.0	16.4	0.59	14.3	17.8	-3.43
Ryan Bowen	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	16	-10	17.0	16.4	0.59	14.3	17.8	-3.43
Melvin Ely	10	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	25	-28	15.9	16.5	-0.60	15.5	17.9	-2.43
Jannero Pargo	30	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.17	4	18	-14	16.8	16.2	0.63	14.4	19.5	-5.08
Bonzi Wells	11	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	25	-28	17.2	16.3	0.87	19.3	17.4	1.87
Julian Wright	11	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.17	2	20	-18	16.2	16.5	-0.28	14.2	18.2	-4.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 110, BOS 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
TOR 74, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
TOR 72, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%